@AlvaMilne

#2,567,88911

0x6338ccedbf3320cdc0c42ea1c1a6ddca5348af9c

~23d· 41 markets · 106 tradesVol: $14,4962026-08-04 18:13:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (14/37)3.9/20
0.01x (win $2 / loss $159)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.0280/15
Sortino -6.5970/10
$-0.0266 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1118 (37 markets)6.9/10
7/22 profitable days (32%)0.5/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($157 / $0)0/10

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,075,295$-3Vol: $6,705
⚽ SPORTS#1,451,200$-19Vol: $3,503
₿ CRYPTO#1,273,693$-21Vol: $1,768
💻 TECH#183,454$-1Vol: $1,648
📈 ECONOMICS#408,434$-0Vol: $623
💰 FINANCE#337,137$-0Vol: $95
🎭 CULTURE#378,876$-0Vol: $58

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-104
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$14,496
Total Redeem
$12
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
41
total markets
Trades
56B / 50S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~23d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-104
Vol: $14,496

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
14W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$-104
Win Rate
38%
14W / 23L
Profit Factor
0.01x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-8

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1 (0.01423076923076923% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$1
Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 January 19-25?$0
Will Solana dip to $80 in July?$0
Will Solana dip to $90 January 19-25?$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $96,000 October 20-26?$0
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on November 18?$0
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 in July?$0
Will Solana dip to $120 October 20-26?$0
Will XRP dip to $1.0 in July?$0

Top Losers

LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group$-84
Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?$-36
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 15?$-34
Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga?$-1
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$-1
Will Robert Negoiță be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$-1
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?$-1
Will Stačilo! win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$-1
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 American League Championship?$-0
Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.359
Sortino
-0.295
HHI
676
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.036
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.2%
Top-5 markets
50.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
16s
between trades
Avg Gap
21.6m
between trades
Night Trading
50%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.78
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
23
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.6

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 16s — normal for humanCV 1.78 — diverse sizes (human-like)50% night trades — never sleeps11/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal12% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.76
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.8%
Mid (20-55c)1.8%
High (>55c)96.4%

Sessions

#12
11/17/2025, 1:24:39 AM12 trades$4,8566 min
11/10/2025, 1:21:51 AM9 trades$4,0944 min
6/4/2025, 5:24:06 AM9 trades$1,4312 min
6/18/2025, 3:21:14 AM5 trades$9681 min
6/12/2025, 8:10:53 AM4 trades$4801 min
7/30/2026, 3:06:08 AM7 trades$1662 min
12/16/2025, 6:39:03 AM6 trades$1061 min
1/20/2026, 9:22:00 AM4 trades$911 min
4/29/2026, 11:03:52 AM6 trades$900 min
11/26/2025, 7:40:27 AM3 trades$861 min
4/14/2026, 8:14:53 AM6 trades$701 min
8/12/2025, 8:19:40 AM4 trades$606 min
8/18/2025, 7:24:04 AM3 trades$601 min
1/21/2026, 9:20:52 AM4 trades$601 min
10/24/2025, 12:06:19 PM4 trades$402 min
1/4/2026, 3:36:09 AM2 trades$401 min
7/13/2025, 2:33:32 PM5 trades$371 min
7/14/2026, 6:07:02 AM2 trades$300 min
6/15/2026, 2:53:46 AM4 trades$271 min
9/13/2025, 6:35:57 AM2 trades$200 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-04
07-13
08-18
10-24
11-26
01-21
06-15
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.76/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.8 / M1.8 / H96.4