@Alderamin

#2,714,21014

0x64605f10f0bd8d7b465c226eccfa5425b4ab76db

~10d· 30 markets · 59 tradesVol: $3,8442026-08-05 18:29:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

42% (11/26)6.2/20
0.69x (win $85 / loss $124)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.7110/15
Sortino -7.9130/10
$-0.0445 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 955 (26 markets)7.7/10
2/9 profitable days (22%)0/10
Max DD 273% of peak ($60 / $22)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
82% entries < $0.55

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,554,825$-173Vol: $3,291
₿ CRYPTO#1,287,712$-23Vol: $454
🎭 CULTURE#687,184$-10Vol: $91
⚽ SPORTS#362,132$3Vol: $8

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-203
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,844
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
30
total markets
Trades
39B / 20S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d

Periods

#2
Today
$70
Vol: $0
Week
$70
Vol: $0
Month
$70
Vol: $0
All Time
$-203
Vol: $3,844

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
42%
11W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$-203
Win Rate
42%
11W / 15L
Profit Factor
0.69x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-8

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $54 (0.263657840338616% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?$26
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$16
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$10
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?$7
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$7
Lakers vs. Warriors$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?$1

Top Losers

Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?$-23
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-20
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?$-10
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$-10
McDonald's CEO out by June 30?$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$-5
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?$-5
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.331
Sortino
-0.627
HHI
37
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.163
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.5%
Top-5 markets
9.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.18
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
17
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 102s — normal for humanCV 4.18 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern12/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal12% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.85
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)28.2%
Mid (20-55c)53.8%
High (>55c)17.9%

Sessions

#12
7/6/2026, 4:23:01 PM12 trades$1,4160 min
4/21/2026, 8:10:48 PM9 trades$1622 min
3/7/2026, 9:58:57 AM5 trades$405 min
2/28/2026, 9:40:47 PM6 trades$305 min
3/2/2026, 1:10:27 PM4 trades$272 min
3/3/2026, 11:38:53 AM2 trades$243 min
2/27/2026, 7:26:13 PM4 trades$218 min
2/27/2026, 5:16:15 PM3 trades$202 min
2/27/2026, 6:12:37 PM4 trades$207 min
2/27/2026, 5:23:19 PM1 trades$100 min
3/7/2026, 7:00:33 PM1 trades$100 min
3/13/2026, 12:15:37 PM1 trades$100 min
3/16/2026, 12:40:35 AM1 trades$100 min
3/2/2026, 11:50:37 AM1 trades$60 min
3/2/2026, 12:01:29 PM1 trades$50 min
4/1/2026, 6:38:01 PM2 trades$40 min
4/1/2026, 6:51:23 PM2 trades$00 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-27
02-28
03-02
03-03
03-07
03-13
03-16
04-01
04-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 49 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.9% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.85/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L28.2 / M53.8 / H17.9