@JohnLai
#2,871,135240x649eb156f46f35f014ee940da9e0ceaf08fb02c9
~119d· 1254 markets · 3274 tradesVol: $81,5202026-08-04 21:24:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
54% (671/1241)12/20
0.79x (win $8,689 / loss $10,947)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.2670/15
Sortino -1.7990/10
$-0.0737 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 596 (1241 markets)9.5/10
24/61 profitable days (39%)2.3/10
Max DD 3174% of peak ($5,698 / $180)0/10
Badges
3Contrarian
56% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
7₿ CRYPTO#1,606,850$-741Vol: $35,883
🏛️ POLITICS#194,579$7Vol: $18,636
⚽ SPORTS#1,615,363$-58Vol: $13,385
📈 ECONOMICS#11,406$117Vol: $8,437
💰 FINANCE#19,532$87Vol: $2,547
🎭 CULTURE#645,268$-5Vol: $2,500
🌤️ WEATHER#56,197$1Vol: $131
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-592
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$81,520
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1254
total markets
Trades
2691B / 583S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~119d
Periods
#2Today
$-2
Vol: $120
Week
$-2
Vol: $163
Month
$1
Vol: $230
All Time
$-592
Vol: $81,520
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
54%
671W / 570L events
Realized PnL
$-592
Win Rate
54%
671W / 570L
Profit Factor
0.79x
Avg Win
$13
Avg Loss
$-19
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,923 (6.622754895340986% of PnL)
Top Winners
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$3,013
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$472
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$438
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$171
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$136
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$120
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$117
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$102
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$94
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$92
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-1,966
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-1,593
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-1,077
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?$-543
Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?$-216
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-212
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?$-160
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-129
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-120
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-105
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.066
Sortino
-0.077
HHI
505
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.060
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17%
Top-5 markets
39.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
16.3
Active
Markets / Day
6.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
13.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.8
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 826s — normal for humanCV 2.00 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock16 trades/day — very active6.2 markets/day — normal59% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.85
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)6.9%
Mid (20-55c)49.1%
High (>55c)44.1%
Sessions
#126/17/2026, 3:25:36 AM2 trades$5,0000 min
4/14/2026, 12:07:29 AM47 trades$2,8396 min
4/22/2026, 12:22:40 AM9 trades$1,7391 min
5/14/2026, 1:21:01 PM16 trades$1,5937 min
5/17/2026, 12:51:28 AM35 trades$1,43112 min
5/13/2026, 11:35:33 PM3 trades$1,2500 min
4/28/2026, 3:35:44 PM7 trades$1,0712 min
1/23/2026, 2:46:48 PM49 trades$1,0395 min
5/18/2026, 10:54:54 AM17 trades$8608 min
1/23/2026, 2:31:50 PM17 trades$7762 min
5/16/2026, 1:22:48 PM15 trades$5923 min
5/6/2026, 7:12:38 AM16 trades$5743 min
1/23/2026, 3:31:52 PM56 trades$56010 min
1/23/2026, 3:02:04 PM58 trades$4789 min
5/17/2026, 6:47:07 AM20 trades$4752 min
5/19/2026, 12:58:35 PM5 trades$4751 min
5/1/2026, 3:15:30 PM6 trades$4650 min
5/16/2026, 3:40:31 AM14 trades$4623 min
5/13/2026, 12:38:20 AM4 trades$4451 min
5/15/2026, 11:51:30 AM6 trades$4311 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-16
01-28
02-07
02-28
05-18
06-17
07-27
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 145 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
17.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.85/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.9 / M49.1 / H44.1