@Balfou

#2,824,55039

0x65193bc4ce7188a7b5e4c8de20426a87e258c268

~9d· 17 markets · 54 tradesVol: $14,7532026-08-05 00:39:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

39
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

87% (13/15)20/20
0.43x (win $517 / loss $1,211)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.4060/15
Sortino -4.3800/10
$-0.0635 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 733 (15 markets)8.8/10
6/8 profitable days (75%)10/10
Max DD 365% of peak ($1,063 / $291)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 87%
Consistent
6/8 profitable days
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#107,418$34Vol: $11,060
SPORTS#1,789,332$-445Vol: $3,693

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-411
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$14,753
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
17
total markets
Trades
33B / 21S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~9d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
87%
13W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$-411
Win Rate
87%
13W / 2L
Profit Factor
0.43x
Avg Win
$40
Avg Loss
$-606

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $219 (0.5323106890674458% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spread: CD Unión La Calera (-1.5)$76
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$73
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? $69
Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)$60
Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?$54
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?$50
Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30?$35
Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-2.5)$22
Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$22
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$20

Top Losers

Spread: Auckland FC (-2.5)$-1,083
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?$-128

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.216
Sortino
-0.131
HHI
761
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.064
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.8%
Top-5 markets
47.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.1h
between trades
Night Trading
41%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.65
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
24
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 632s — normal for humanCV 0.65 — diverse sizes (human-like)41% night trades — never sleeps9/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal61% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.2%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)84.8%

Sessions

#12
5/14/2026, 7:35:12 AM5 trades$1,0744 min
5/16/2026, 7:18:22 AM3 trades$1,0055 min
5/10/2026, 8:43:54 AM3 trades$9734 min
7/11/2026, 6:05:22 AM3 trades$9350 min
7/11/2026, 3:09:26 AM4 trades$9000 min
5/15/2026, 8:49:53 AM2 trades$5590 min
5/14/2026, 4:53:12 AM4 trades$5450 min
5/15/2026, 7:54:45 AM2 trades$5450 min
5/17/2026, 6:09:05 AM2 trades$5430 min
5/15/2026, 8:39:21 AM1 trades$5390 min
5/13/2026, 3:30:09 AM2 trades$5350 min
5/13/2026, 7:14:33 AM2 trades$5300 min
5/17/2026, 4:59:03 AM2 trades$5250 min
5/13/2026, 7:06:16 AM1 trades$5240 min
5/11/2026, 9:43:34 AM2 trades$5200 min
5/11/2026, 11:34:45 AM2 trades$5150 min
5/16/2026, 6:12:11 AM2 trades$5150 min
5/17/2026, 6:02:47 AM1 trades$5020 min
5/11/2026, 11:28:36 AM1 trades$4980 min
5/10/2026, 5:37:23 AM2 trades$4800 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-10
05-11
05-13
05-14
05-15
05-16
05-17
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.2 / M0 / H84.8