Lumens

@Lumens

#108,42722

0x657ce98bbb6bd563cc7f33652f1ddcaf0de366a3

~102d· 1644 markets · 2509 tradesVol: $82,3682026-08-04 18:10:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (719/1628)7.1/20
0.80x (win $2,922 / loss $3,650)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.9170/15
Sortino -1.9960/10
$-0.1004 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 517 (1628 markets)9.9/10
50/98 profitable days (51%)5.3/10
Max DD 2158% of peak ($926 / $43)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+577
Contrarian
71% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
87% maker orders

Categories

5
SPORTS#72,521$301Vol: $32,298
🏛️ POLITICS#52,793$145Vol: $25,678
🎭 CULTURE#719,179$-18Vol: $17,847
CRYPTO#1,282,408$-22Vol: $428
📢 MENTIONS#116,139$-5Vol: $100

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$577
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$82,368
Total Redeem
$574
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1644
total markets
Trades
2149B / 360S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~102d

Periods

#2
Today
$108
Vol: $899
Week
$122
Vol: $4,246
Month
$245
Vol: $5,700
All Time
$577
Vol: $82,368

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
719W / 909L events
Realized PnL
$577
Win Rate
44%
719W / 909L
Profit Factor
0.8x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $210 (0.36488290256036887% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$154
Swiss Open: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Jaume Munar$29
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$28
Spread: Pohang Steelers FC (-2.5)$27
New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo$26
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$25
FC Nordsjælland vs. Randers FC: Both Teams to Score$25
Croatia Open, Qualification: Lukas Neumayer vs Marko Topo$24
FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 4.5$24
Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago Sky$23

Top Losers

Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?$-506
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$-167
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$-95
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-77
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?$-68
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$-40
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$-32
Games Total: O/U 2.5$-26
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indians$-25
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 2 Winner$-23

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.100
Sortino
-0.076
HHI
238
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.087
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.8%
Top-5 markets
28.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
19.0
Active
Markets / Day
12.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
15.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.61
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.4

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 955s — normal for humanCV 1.61 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock19 trades/day — very active12 markets/day — mass coverage87% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.67
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15%
Mid (20-55c)56.3%
High (>55c)28.8%

Sessions

#12
4/30/2026, 6:31:04 PM13 trades$87114 min
4/30/2026, 11:19:28 PM19 trades$4553 min
4/30/2026, 11:46:38 PM2 trades$1170 min
3/27/2026, 8:58:07 PM9 trades$11011 min
4/7/2026, 11:24:21 PM1 trades$1050 min
6/30/2026, 7:30:38 PM2 trades$1000 min
4/30/2026, 1:01:42 PM2 trades$990 min
5/1/2026, 8:31:00 PM3 trades$922 min
3/28/2026, 10:29:47 AM4 trades$803 min
5/10/2026, 10:53:10 AM4 trades$780 min
4/7/2026, 10:40:11 PM8 trades$777 min
5/2/2026, 3:05:56 PM2 trades$770 min
5/3/2026, 6:34:08 AM2 trades$770 min
5/2/2026, 4:41:30 PM7 trades$712 min
4/27/2026, 2:36:14 PM2 trades$670 min
5/2/2026, 4:13:26 PM8 trades$657 min
4/23/2026, 9:04:42 AM2 trades$620 min
4/22/2026, 3:18:16 AM2 trades$600 min
3/28/2026, 6:40:29 PM1 trades$550 min
5/1/2026, 8:10:04 PM2 trades$524 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-26
05-07
05-28
06-14
06-30
07-16
08-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 46 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
14.3% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.67/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L15 / M56.3 / H28.8