@wumpy2

#3,052,28032

0x662b3b65a817caf5939d26bcf8be4c24d4018a95

~50d· 46 markets · 660 tradesVol: $661,3032026-08-04 21:04:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

32
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

59% (27/46)14.3/20
0.82x (win $37,183 / loss $45,183)0.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.2860/15
Sortino -1.4660/10
$-0.0289 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1023 (46 markets)7.4/10
21/30 profitable days (70%)10/10
Max DD 452% of peak ($25,531 / $5,649)0/10

Badges

6
DCA Master
Avg 22.1 entries/market
Whale
$277,019 invested
Consistent
21/30 profitable days
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
91% maker orders

Categories

6
₿ CRYPTO#1,557,869$-273Vol: $329,142
🏛️ POLITICS#1,636,556$-7,456Vol: $317,042
🎭 CULTURE#6,885$621Vol: $9,850
💰 FINANCE#644,800$-260Vol: $2,720
⚽ SPORTS#140,464$73Vol: $2,390
📢 MENTIONS#5,880$104Vol: $154

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-7,192
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$661,303
Total Redeem
$6
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
46
total markets
Trades
456B / 204S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~50d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-7,192
Vol: $661,303

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
59%
27W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$-7,192
Win Rate
59%
27W / 19L
Profit Factor
0.82x
Avg Win
$1,377
Avg Loss
$-2,378

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $28,378 (3.9458196779436894% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$16,416
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$9,122
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?$2,839
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?$1,652
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?$1,255
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$754
Will the government shutdown end November 12?$690
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$621
Over $1M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?$610
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?$461

Top Losers

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$-14,961
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-11,995
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$-7,997
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?$-5,091
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$-2,029
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$-630
No airdrop in 2025?$-574
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?$-420
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?$-260
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$-248

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.066
Sortino
-0.046
HHI
1246
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.023
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
24%
Top-5 markets
65.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
54.2m
between trades
Night Trading
39%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.87
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.7

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 158s — normal for humanCV 2.87 — diverse sizes (human-like)39% night trades — never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal91% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
22.09
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.7%
Mid (20-55c)18.6%
High (>55c)77.6%

Sessions

#12
12/30/2025, 6:49:41 AM6 trades$32,0983 min
12/30/2025, 5:03:07 AM5 trades$25,3522 min
12/30/2025, 9:30:53 AM2 trades$24,0931 min
12/30/2025, 10:20:19 PM2 trades$15,6712 min
12/30/2025, 4:32:53 AM7 trades$15,5347 min
3/5/2026, 4:28:15 AM1 trades$15,2580 min
2/27/2026, 10:52:49 PM1 trades$11,9950 min
12/30/2025, 4:49:15 AM7 trades$11,6965 min
12/29/2025, 5:46:45 PM21 trades$11,37012 min
3/12/2026, 2:49:45 AM18 trades$10,80519 min
3/12/2026, 12:32:05 AM16 trades$10,3366 min
6/30/2026, 8:03:10 PM4 trades$9,9900 min
6/30/2026, 3:53:38 PM1 trades$9,3870 min
10/9/2025, 3:08:48 AM5 trades$9,2294 min
12/30/2025, 5:18:09 AM1 trades$8,8400 min
3/24/2026, 12:28:35 AM1 trades$8,5000 min
3/12/2026, 12:49:31 AM16 trades$8,4455 min
12/30/2025, 10:31:25 PM3 trades$7,8346 min
10/31/2025, 8:55:49 PM1 trades$7,7440 min
3/17/2026, 5:52:09 PM5 trades$7,3760 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-09
11-03
12-16
12-30
03-04
03-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 60 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 22.09/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.7 / M18.6 / H77.6