@szakal

#3,046,99828

0x665095017c1c71d567b77785dd398224d54371b6

~275d· 630 markets · 2107 tradesVol: $503,519 @cryptoshakal2026-08-04 21:52:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

55% (344/623)12.6/20
0.83x (win $19,810 / loss $23,963)0.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.1350/15
Sortino -1.3160/10
$-0.0215 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 97 (623 markets)10/10
113/225 profitable days (50%)5.1/10
Max DD 757% of peak ($8,628 / $1,139)0/10

Badges

4
Contrarian
71% entries < $0.55
Whale
$193,520 invested
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
₿ CRYPTO#1,664,376$-4,003Vol: $151,533
🏛️ POLITICS#1,631,648$-3,599Vol: $149,099
⚽ SPORTS#1,755,973$-244Vol: $54,957
💰 FINANCE#3,253$1,388Vol: $51,166
📈 ECONOMICS#7,015$266Vol: $34,342
🎭 CULTURE#792,264$-172Vol: $15,296
📢 MENTIONS#2,341$462Vol: $13,877
💻 TECH#250,839$-126Vol: $6,458

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-5,760
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$503,519
Total Redeem
$669
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
630
total markets
Trades
1482B / 625S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~275d

Periods

#2
Today
$-44
Vol: $0
Week
$24
Vol: $184
Month
$246
Vol: $1,934
All Time
$-5,760
Vol: $503,519

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
55%
344W / 278L events
Realized PnL
$-5,760
Win Rate
55%
344W / 278L
Profit Factor
0.83x
Avg Win
$58
Avg Loss
$-89

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,060 (0.35764732843511715% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?$853
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$646
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$561
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$554
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 18-24?$443
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$419
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?$372
Another Russian incursion in Polish airspace by October 31?$344
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?$325
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?$323

Top Losers

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?$-1,400
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$-1,280
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-800
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?$-800
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?$-700
Will Bitcoin reach $122,000 September 29-October 5?$-630
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-627
Will Bitcoin dip to $112k in October?$-600
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$-544
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?$-500

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.059
Sortino
-0.054
HHI
103
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.020
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.1%
Top-5 markets
13.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.78
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 268s — normal for humanCV 2.78 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal1.0 markets/day — normal58% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.54
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21.7%
Mid (20-55c)48.9%
High (>55c)29.4%

Sessions

#12
9/10/2025, 9:57:57 PM4 trades$8,0001 min
9/16/2025, 10:27:28 PM1 trades$7,7520 min
2/1/2025, 5:51:30 PM2 trades$4,6360 min
2/1/2025, 8:42:03 PM2 trades$4,6313 min
2/1/2025, 10:15:14 PM2 trades$4,6271 min
2/4/2025, 9:40:41 PM6 trades$4,6173 min
1/26/2025, 10:15:27 PM2 trades$4,5412 min
1/27/2025, 8:32:56 PM2 trades$4,5362 min
12/10/2024, 9:34:53 PM5 trades$4,3745 min
2/6/2025, 4:42:19 PM2 trades$4,1362 min
9/16/2025, 10:42:28 PM3 trades$4,0006 min
12/3/2024, 10:35:12 PM2 trades$3,5261 min
9/20/2025, 7:21:02 AM2 trades$3,2760 min
12/4/2024, 10:54:45 PM9 trades$2,5335 min
12/7/2024, 4:17:36 PM2 trades$2,5222 min
12/1/2024, 11:13:50 AM2 trades$2,5012 min
12/5/2024, 9:18:14 PM6 trades$2,4973 min
12/4/2024, 9:57:29 PM1 trades$2,4590 min
12/5/2024, 8:43:21 PM3 trades$2,4592 min
12/7/2024, 1:26:35 PM2 trades$2,4584 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-01
04-03
09-20
11-26
02-07
04-21
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 176 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.54/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L21.7 / M48.9 / H29.4