@tobetornottobet
#33,996430x66657b3c37f6d0acccc1cabba889686c8a50d1ef
~77d· 121 markets · 1439 tradesVol: $231,2892026-08-04 22:40:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
43
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
31% (31/99)0.7/20
1.13x (win $14,819 / loss $13,079)4.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.85015/15
Sortino 1.52710/10
$+0.0355 per $1 invested1.8/10
HHI 533 (99 markets)9.8/10
14/39 profitable days (36%)1.5/10
Max DD 77% of peak ($5,965 / $7,705)0/10
Badges
3Profitable
PnL $+3,469
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
4⚽ SPORTS#20,621$2,114Vol: $175,943
🏛️ POLITICS#13,464$1,583Vol: $50,039
₿ CRYPTO#1,551,250$-247Vol: $3,431
🎭 CULTURE#37,103$35Vol: $1,276
Overview
#1Net PnL
$3,469
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$231,289
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
121
total markets
Trades
550B / 889S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~77d
Periods
#2Today
$-11
Vol: $0
Week
$-17
Vol: $0
Month
$-13
Vol: $600
All Time
$3,469
Vol: $231,289
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
31%
31W / 68L events
Realized PnL
$3,469
Win Rate
31%
31W / 68L
Profit Factor
1.13x
Avg Win
$478
Avg Loss
$-234
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,809 (1.9628963397935386% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3,533
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?$1,671
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,605
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,465
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$1,243
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1,144
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,122
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?$948
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$797
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$519
Top Losers
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-6,845
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-1,776
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-578
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-446
Will Naomi Osaka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$-423
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$-283
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-258
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-215
Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$-208
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$-157
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.044
Sortino
0.069
HHI
1503
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.028
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
25.4%
Top-5 markets
72.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
6.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
39%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.1
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 147s — normal for humanCV 2.79 — diverse sizes (human-like)39% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
17.72
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)26.9%
Mid (20-55c)14.4%
High (>55c)58.7%
Sessions
#121/16/2026, 1:48:10 PM14 trades$3,94916 min
5/10/2026, 5:18:00 PM21 trades$3,8592 min
5/10/2026, 3:56:07 PM19 trades$3,6873 min
1/23/2026, 12:14:46 PM5 trades$2,9994 min
7/13/2026, 8:33:16 AM43 trades$2,9342 min
1/16/2026, 2:25:58 PM7 trades$2,7922 min
6/29/2026, 1:45:10 AM2 trades$2,7890 min
6/26/2026, 1:32:52 AM4 trades$2,6763 min
6/25/2026, 1:48:56 PM3 trades$2,4000 min
7/6/2026, 12:56:13 AM14 trades$2,1804 min
7/19/2026, 10:29:49 PM9 trades$2,0460 min
2/2/2026, 2:04:58 PM5 trades$1,8751 min
7/19/2026, 3:32:24 PM8 trades$1,8215 min
7/13/2026, 1:52:35 PM22 trades$1,7741 min
6/26/2026, 6:12:46 AM7 trades$1,5647 min
6/28/2026, 7:47:34 AM9 trades$1,4401 min
7/1/2026, 1:47:04 PM25 trades$1,3839 min
6/18/2026, 3:35:50 PM73 trades$1,3778 min
7/2/2026, 2:00:16 PM47 trades$1,25711 min
1/16/2026, 3:29:32 PM1 trades$1,2100 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-11
02-09
05-16
06-11
06-26
07-04
07-11
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 22 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
61.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.72/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L26.9 / M14.4 / H58.7