@AeIius

#2,825,25638

0x6712f8f76052693ade78877d33db8611170936b9

~26d· 147 markets · 1162 tradesVol: $54,5892026-08-05 00:40:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

38
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

84% (123/147)20/20
0.77x (win $2,071 / loss $2,695)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.9690/15
Sortino -3.4470/10
$-0.0258 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 92 (147 markets)10/10
16/26 profitable days (62%)7.9/10
Max DD 255% of peak ($1,158 / $454)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 84%
DCA Master
Avg 7.9 entries/market
Consistent
16/26 profitable days
Win Streak
26 wins in a row

Categories

4
🌤️ WEATHER#285,320$-101Vol: $29,422
💰 FINANCE#621,834$-57Vol: $12,155
₿ CRYPTO#1,031,280$-5Vol: $8,249
🎭 CULTURE#796,229$-217Vol: $3,116

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-413
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$54,589
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
147
total markets
Trades
266B / 896S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~26d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
84%
123W / 24L events
Realized PnL
$-413
Win Rate
84%
123W / 24L
Profit Factor
0.77x
Avg Win
$17
Avg Loss
$-150

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $222 (0.537188082387395% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 11?$81
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 5?$71
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 17?$69
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 9?$61
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 16?$57
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on June 12?$57
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 6?$53
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 8?$49
EWY (EWY) Up or Down on June 10?$47
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 10?$40

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 7?$-400
NYA (NYA) Up or Down on June 17?$-204
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 21?$-204
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 8?$-200
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 16?$-200
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 16?$-200
NYA (NYA) Up or Down on June 15?$-193
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 4?$-171
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 15?$-170
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 8?$-162

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.152
Sortino
-0.202
HHI
88
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.026
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.6%
Top-5 markets
8.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
36.3
Active
Markets / Day
4.6
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
47.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.41
Moderate
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.1

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2817s — normal for humanCV 0.42 — uniform order sizes25% night trades — never sleeps20/24 hours — extended activity36 trades/day — high frequency4.6 markets/day — normal23% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.9
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0.4%
High (>55c)99.6%

Sessions

#12
6/6/2026, 10:17:21 AM18 trades$1,1461 min
6/15/2026, 10:44:54 AM27 trades$9523 min
6/14/2026, 7:17:19 AM14 trades$6573 min
6/12/2026, 8:42:51 AM8 trades$6351 min
6/4/2026, 8:57:52 PM6 trades$6331 min
6/4/2026, 7:07:43 AM16 trades$5861 min
6/13/2026, 9:44:48 AM18 trades$5291 min
6/4/2026, 9:10:36 PM21 trades$5287 min
6/5/2026, 2:52:19 AM21 trades$4824 min
6/6/2026, 5:22:25 PM21 trades$4486 min
6/3/2026, 9:10:58 PM13 trades$4283 min
6/14/2026, 11:11:57 AM2 trades$4270 min
6/4/2026, 4:02:15 PM14 trades$4226 min
6/8/2026, 9:00:07 PM4 trades$4190 min
6/11/2026, 9:04:12 AM9 trades$4160 min
6/14/2026, 3:58:33 PM5 trades$4110 min
6/16/2026, 5:05:31 AM28 trades$4083 min
6/17/2026, 9:07:37 AM5 trades$3330 min
6/12/2026, 8:59:22 PM8 trades$3302 min
6/16/2026, 7:11:55 AM13 trades$3242 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-27
06-06
06-10
06-14
06-18
06-22
06-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 7 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
82% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
77.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.9/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0.4 / H99.6