@0x681C2F…8275

#1,963,06660

0x681c2fed33b0178dcb9f917c62226a29d892a579

~11d· 22 markets · 155 tradesVol: $14,7482026-08-05 16:35:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

60
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

23% (5/22)0/20
2.25x (win $195 / loss $87)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.11215/15
Sortino 145.96110/10
$+0.2661 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 2600 (22 markets)0/10
1/9 profitable days (11%)0/10
Max DD 8% of peak ($9 / $118)10/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
65% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 8%

Categories

6
🌤️ WEATHER#173,943$-0Vol: $8,389
💰 FINANCE#109,834$2Vol: $3,232
📈 ECONOMICS#498,340$-1Vol: $1,343
₿ CRYPTO#874,972$-1Vol: $1,035
🏛️ POLITICS#1,124,904$-4Vol: $480
⚽ SPORTS#1,329,611$-9Vol: $269

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-15
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$14,748
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
22
total markets
Trades
100B / 55S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~11d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-15
Vol: $14,748

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
23%
5W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$-15
Win Rate
23%
5W / 17L
Profit Factor
2.25x
Avg Win
$39
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $191 (13.102739726027398% of PnL)

Top Winners

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?$104
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?$57
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$31
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?$3
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?$1

Top Losers

Will Neymar score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-38
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$-14
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 12?$-10
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?$-7
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?$-5
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 27?$-3
Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?$-3
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 30?$-1
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?$-1
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 12?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.302
Sortino
11.561
HHI
3670
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.193
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
39.2%
Top-5 markets
116.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
59.8m
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.02
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
33
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.7

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 83s — normal for humanCV 2.02 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.64
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)65%
Mid (20-55c)6%
High (>55c)29%

Sessions

#12
6/27/2026, 6:07:46 AM13 trades$1,6500 min
7/5/2026, 11:57:44 AM2 trades$1,3430 min
6/12/2026, 1:20:34 PM33 trades$30222 min
6/30/2026, 10:40:11 AM4 trades$3000 min
6/12/2026, 12:51:40 PM26 trades$22920 min
6/12/2026, 12:24:34 PM3 trades$1340 min
6/12/2026, 3:09:18 PM8 trades$643 min
6/12/2026, 3:32:00 PM11 trades$202 min
7/1/2026, 9:26:19 AM2 trades$50 min
6/26/2026, 5:59:23 AM2 trades$30 min
5/21/2026, 6:11:08 AM2 trades$20 min
6/29/2026, 10:58:19 PM1 trades$10 min
7/1/2026, 12:03:14 PM2 trades$10 min
6/12/2026, 1:50:49 PM2 trades$12 min
4/30/2026, 2:43:50 AM1 trades$10 min
6/12/2026, 1:59:39 PM2 trades$10 min
6/30/2026, 11:10:29 AM2 trades$03 min
4/29/2026, 12:15:36 PM2 trades$00 min
4/29/2026, 11:30:00 PM8 trades$04 min
6/28/2026, 4:43:13 AM3 trades$00 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-30
05-21
06-12
06-26
06-27
06-29
06-30
07-01
07-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 23 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
36.4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.64/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L65 / M6 / H29