@ARRA777pro

#169,6920

0x681edd29d29e39828eda05537a10892d0e907ad9

~23d· 34 markets · 294 tradesVol: $30,0352026-08-03 21:38:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

17% (4/23)0/20
0.32x (win $166 / loss $516)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.2310/15
Sortino -7.4730/10
$-0.1697 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2889 (23 markets)0/10
3/10 profitable days (30%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($481 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+212
Lottery Player
59% entries < $0.20

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,487,900$-66Vol: $20,988
₿ CRYPTO#54,581$293Vol: $3,536
⚽ SPORTS#134,367$81Vol: $3,195
📈 ECONOMICS#577,175$-6Vol: $1,518
💰 FINANCE#629,453$-90Vol: $800

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$212
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$30,035
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
34
total markets
Trades
91B / 203S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~23d

Periods

#2
Today
$5
Vol: $0
Week
$5
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $350
All Time
$212
Vol: $30,035

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
17%
4W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$212
Win Rate
17%
4W / 19L
Profit Factor
0.32x
Avg Win
$42
Avg Loss
$-30

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $159 (0.7528089887640451% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$131
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 19?$18
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 22?$7

Top Losers

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?$-96
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-83
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$-75
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?$-74
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?$-30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 23?$-20
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?$-18
Will Trump attend NATO Summit?$-16

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.359
Sortino
-0.412
HHI
93
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.658
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.2%
Top-5 markets
16.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.1h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.69
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
45
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.5

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 210s — normal for humanCV 1.69 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity6 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal31% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)59.3%
Mid (20-55c)12.1%
High (>55c)28.6%

Sessions

#12
6/17/2026, 11:20:43 AM17 trades$7,6936 min
6/17/2026, 2:31:07 PM2 trades$2,0000 min
6/16/2026, 8:17:09 AM27 trades$1,22611 min
6/16/2026, 4:10:20 PM22 trades$9192 min
6/23/2026, 9:51:55 PM12 trades$7227 min
6/22/2026, 1:06:14 PM10 trades$5891 min
7/27/2026, 11:55:06 AM4 trades$5850 min
6/21/2026, 10:51:26 AM17 trades$5605 min
6/17/2026, 11:15:16 AM2 trades$5000 min
6/22/2026, 12:59:25 PM6 trades$4190 min
7/16/2026, 10:54:07 AM11 trades$3680 min
7/19/2026, 7:41:33 AM5 trades$3610 min
6/29/2026, 5:35:34 AM6 trades$3520 min
6/16/2026, 4:20:26 PM7 trades$2595 min
6/16/2026, 8:05:57 AM6 trades$2394 min
6/16/2026, 4:00:58 PM3 trades$2130 min
7/28/2026, 3:13:49 AM3 trades$1980 min
6/20/2026, 8:45:14 AM9 trades$1865 min
6/20/2026, 12:53:20 PM11 trades$1716 min
6/22/2026, 1:13:52 PM9 trades$1624 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-16
06-17
06-18
06-20
06-21
06-23
07-01
07-06
07-14
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
69% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L59.3 / M12.1 / H28.6