@coldhot

#33,05267

0x68540c38878781e28add4857f7574802ddcd67d0

~75d· 5159 markets · 26191 tradesVol: $251,1192026-08-04 18:15:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

67
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

54% (2693/4997)11.9/20
1.05x (win $40,405 / loss $38,421)3.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.49215/15
Sortino 5.64810/10
$+0.0188 per $1 invested0.9/10
HHI 15 (4997 markets)10/10
46/71 profitable days (65%)8.7/10
Max DD 32% of peak ($651 / $2,032)7.6/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+3,613
DCA Master
Avg 5.2 entries/market
Whale
$105,625 invested
Consistent
46/71 profitable days
High Roller
$1,016/day
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🌤️ WEATHER#1,332$1,304Vol: $132,974
SPORTS#48,399$677Vol: $69,127
🎭 CULTURE#7,624$530Vol: $18,851
🏛️ POLITICS#21,684$741Vol: $15,537
💰 FINANCE#13,722$166Vol: $8,003
💻 TECH#7,267$69Vol: $2,771
📈 ECONOMICS#27,670$22Vol: $1,593
CRYPTO#137,304$42Vol: $1,438

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,598
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$251,119
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
5159
total markets
Trades
14436B / 11755S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~75d

Periods

#2
Today
$9
Vol: $0
Week
$-4
Vol: $0
Month
$-53
Vol: $21
All Time
$3,598
Vol: $251,119

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
54%
2693W / 2304L events
Realized PnL
$3,613
Win Rate
54%
2693W / 2304L
Profit Factor
1.05x
Avg Win
$15
Avg Loss
$-24

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,257 (0.9016120728311476% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1,734
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-05-02?$856
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-02?$668
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$635
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?$569
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$498
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 29?$496
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?$495
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$433
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-02?$412

Top Losers

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-2,007
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-05-02?$-860
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$-812
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?$-696
Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?$-613
Will San Diego FC vs. Los Angeles FC end in a draw?$-520
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?$-444
Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?$-441
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 29?$-389
Will OGC Nice vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?$-375

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.181
Sortino
0.208
HHI
15
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.018
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.4%
Top-5 markets
4.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
251.8
Very active
Markets / Day
49.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
9.7m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.56
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
16 min
Avg Trades / Session
72.4

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 61s — normal for humanCV 1.56 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock252 trades/day — automation50 markets/day — mass coverage55% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.2
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.4%
Mid (20-55c)25.8%
High (>55c)63.8%

Sessions

#12
5/3/2026, 5:47:54 PM114 trades$1,85329 min
5/2/2026, 1:38:42 PM152 trades$1,83452 min
5/2/2026, 3:45:22 PM98 trades$1,81415 min
5/24/2026, 8:14:15 PM179 trades$1,52127 min
4/29/2026, 8:38:14 PM63 trades$1,4515 min
6/3/2026, 12:58:53 PM101 trades$1,27811 min
5/3/2026, 3:14:10 AM79 trades$1,21331 min
5/6/2026, 7:04:27 PM47 trades$1,1876 min
5/16/2026, 10:38:19 PM20 trades$1,1330 min
5/2/2026, 3:21:48 PM65 trades$1,1279 min
5/24/2026, 8:48:15 PM52 trades$1,08011 min
5/2/2026, 12:49:20 PM100 trades$1,06741 min
5/3/2026, 6:25:14 PM67 trades$1,0554 min
5/1/2026, 4:01:48 PM47 trades$1,0087 min
5/2/2026, 6:34:38 PM145 trades$98438 min
5/4/2026, 2:08:48 PM86 trades$9846 min
5/2/2026, 6:02:52 PM61 trades$96518 min
5/2/2026, 5:10:04 PM92 trades$9496 min
4/29/2026, 2:02:40 AM158 trades$94235 min
5/3/2026, 1:21:28 AM101 trades$93116 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-20
05-01
05-12
05-24
06-06
06-19
07-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 4 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
16% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.2/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.4 / M25.8 / H63.8