@lonzoball

#3,049,02124

0x6884705f262c7a067fa677ea66eccd9285e16ccf

~173d· 1154 markets · 3832 tradesVol: $2,292,0392026-08-04 23:40:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

49% (569/1154)9.7/20
0.96x (win $281,657 / loss $294,015)2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.7910/15
Sortino -1.2550/10
$-0.0194 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 69 (1154 markets)10/10
67/167 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 147% of peak ($39,521 / $26,850)0/10

Badges

6
Contrarian
69% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
10% sells
Whale
$638,065 invested
High Roller
$2,072/day
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
SPORTS#1,871,686$-4,955Vol: $1,353,210
📈 ECONOMICS#681,230$-2,357Vol: $729,681
CRYPTO#1,663,905$-3,795Vol: $33,368

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-6,193
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,292,039
Total Redeem
$5,027
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1154
total markets
Trades
3457B / 375S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~173d

Periods

#2
Week
$-1,682
Vol: $22,666
Month
$-261
Vol: $29,135
All Time
$-6,193
Vol: $2,292,039

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
49%
569W / 585L events
Realized PnL
$-6,193
Win Rate
49%
569W / 585L
Profit Factor
0.96x
Avg Win
$495
Avg Loss
$-506

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $13,487 (2.177675801969583% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spurs vs. Warriors$6,624
Will Damian Lillard win the 2026 NBA 3-point contest?$3,466
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)$3,397
Pacers vs. Bucks$3,237
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$3,132
Big Bash League: Sydney Thunder vs Brisbane Heat (Game 1)$3,076
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev$3,045
Ravens vs. Steelers$3,028
Suns vs. Trail Blazers$2,645
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?$2,491

Top Losers

Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)$-6,560
Seahawks vs. Patriots$-3,533
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Playoffs$-3,390
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$-3,309
Arizona Wildcats vs. Kansas Jayhawks$-3,092
Big Bash League: Melbourne Stars vs Melbourne Renegades (Game 1)$-2,938
Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5$-2,520
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-04-26?$-2,422
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs$-2,296
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?$-2,228

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.041
Sortino
-0.074
HHI
43
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.019
Kelly %
0.3%
Half-Kelly
0.1%
Top-1 market
4.8%
Top-5 markets
8.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.4
Active
Markets / Day
3.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.82
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.2

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 172s — normal for humanCV 1.82 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock12 trades/day — very active3.7 markets/day — normal53% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.4
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.9%
Mid (20-55c)63.4%
High (>55c)30.7%

Sessions

#12
4/14/2026, 10:20:38 PM29 trades$10,2290 min
4/9/2026, 12:33:05 AM4 trades$7,6780 min
2/10/2026, 11:38:55 AM82 trades$6,82477 min
12/22/2025, 10:39:45 PM56 trades$6,55618 min
1/4/2026, 6:11:55 AM20 trades$5,87415 min
2/28/2026, 2:38:15 PM3 trades$5,7251 min
2/12/2026, 10:07:39 PM24 trades$5,66218 min
2/12/2026, 12:51:43 PM12 trades$5,30516 min
12/22/2025, 6:11:10 AM7 trades$4,7274 min
4/25/2026, 2:00:58 AM4 trades$4,3891 min
1/2/2026, 6:05:31 AM2 trades$4,3381 min
1/3/2026, 3:14:57 AM2 trades$4,0091 min
12/4/2025, 4:38:27 AM2 trades$3,9930 min
2/4/2026, 12:01:58 AM10 trades$3,7056 min
1/27/2026, 4:55:45 AM2 trades$3,6811 min
3/5/2026, 10:51:29 PM5 trades$3,6476 min
11/29/2025, 3:30:13 AM4 trades$3,6394 min
4/26/2026, 6:12:36 AM10 trades$3,4923 min
3/5/2026, 8:02:23 AM1 trades$3,3910 min
2/10/2026, 1:58:41 PM3 trades$3,3854 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-28
10-25
11-21
01-05
02-09
03-16
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 170 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
9.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.4/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L5.9 / M63.4 / H30.7