@MellowBella2

#1,321,29946

0x68977c8303ff33916ed670d52036c2b7aa8ab918

~22d· 103 markets · 147 tradesVol: $1,6972026-08-04 20:59:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

46
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (40/101)4.8/20
1.10x (win $97 / loss $88)3.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.19615/15
Sortino 2.80510/10
$+0.0606 per $1 invested3/10
HHI 640 (101 markets)9.3/10
5/19 profitable days (26%)0/10
Max DD 105% of peak ($23 / $22)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
83% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

7
₿ CRYPTO#263,610$7Vol: $1,433
⚽ SPORTS#1,073,568$-2Vol: $129
🎭 CULTURE#572,264$-2Vol: $84
🌤️ WEATHER#182,276$-1Vol: $22
📢 MENTIONS#74,383$-1Vol: $11
🏛️ POLITICS#993,875$-2Vol: $9
💰 FINANCE#462,976$-1Vol: $8

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,697
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
103
total markets
Trades
120B / 27S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~22d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$-2
Vol: $0
Month
$-2
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1
Vol: $1,697

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
40W / 61L events
Realized PnL
$-1
Win Rate
40%
40W / 61L
Profit Factor
1.1x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $39 (34.256637168141594% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$21
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$4
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$3
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$3

Top Losers

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?$-4
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$-4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$-3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$-3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.061
Sortino
0.195
HHI
150
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.057
Kelly %
2.1%
Half-Kelly
1.1%
Top-1 market
4.2%
Top-5 markets
15.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.50
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.4

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 354s — normal for humanCV 0.50 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours16/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal14% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.53
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18.3%
Mid (20-55c)65%
High (>55c)16.7%

Sessions

#12
5/8/2026, 4:18:59 PM3 trades$290 min
4/7/2026, 11:45:47 AM8 trades$144 min
7/10/2026, 3:11:08 AM4 trades$120 min
5/11/2026, 1:43:01 PM2 trades$110 min
6/22/2026, 2:14:37 AM4 trades$112 min
3/13/2026, 12:20:49 AM6 trades$914 min
3/8/2026, 10:14:29 PM4 trades$87 min
3/8/2026, 3:03:01 PM2 trades$73 min
3/8/2026, 6:10:43 PM2 trades$75 min
3/8/2026, 4:56:59 PM2 trades$75 min
5/17/2026, 11:20:20 PM6 trades$63 min
4/18/2026, 3:42:36 PM6 trades$53 min
3/8/2026, 3:52:07 PM2 trades$44 min
3/8/2026, 2:20:57 PM4 trades$410 min
3/9/2026, 5:18:37 PM2 trades$40 min
3/10/2026, 2:55:15 PM2 trades$43 min
3/11/2026, 1:26:29 PM3 trades$45 min
3/11/2026, 1:38:29 PM4 trades$47 min
3/8/2026, 4:03:47 PM2 trades$32 min
3/8/2026, 6:20:27 PM2 trades$35 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-08
03-11
03-15
03-22
04-18
05-12
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 7 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
18.4% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.53/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L18.3 / M65 / H16.7