OnlyPhan

@OnlyPhan

#56,93540

0x6936431c93a525f454d1bb914c107f926c86a45e

~79d· 238 markets · 1055 tradesVol: $86,6862026-08-04 18:17:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

76% (181/237)20/20
0.68x (win $1,907 / loss $2,786)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.1580/15
Sortino -1.1900/10
$-0.0496 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 208 (237 markets)10/10
48/69 profitable days (70%)9.9/10
Max DD 206% of peak ($1,900 / $923)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 76%
Profitable
PnL $+1,913
Consistent
48/69 profitable days
Win Streak
22 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🎭 CULTURE#5,321$923Vol: $39,483
📢 MENTIONS#1,503$812Vol: $27,944
💰 FINANCE#639,173$-155Vol: $12,609
🌤️ WEATHER#11,964$37Vol: $4,118
💻 TECH#8,774$48Vol: $1,732
SPORTS#371,124$3Vol: $130
🏛️ POLITICS#346,073$1Vol: $66
CRYPTO#175,185$22Vol: $49

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,783
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$86,686
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
238
total markets
Trades
536B / 519S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~79d

Periods

#2
Today
$-103
Vol: $1,635
Week
$-29
Vol: $4,339
Month
$-332
Vol: $5,451
All Time
$1,783
Vol: $86,686

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
76%
181W / 56L events
Realized PnL
$1,913
Win Rate
76%
181W / 56L
Profit Factor
0.68x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-71

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $407 (0.21278142025075553% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$165
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$132
Will MrBeast's next video get between 61 and 62 million views on day 6?$110
Will MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 58 million views on day 5?$96
Will MrBeast's next video get between 55 and 55.5 million views on day 6?$94
Will MrBeast's next video get 64 million or more views in week 1?$85
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$78
Will MrBeast's next video get between 63.5 and 64 million views in week 1?$78
Will MrBeast's next video get between 58 and 59 million views on day 5?$66
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 46 million views on day 3?$56

Top Losers

Will Trump say "Transgender" during Tele-Rallies?$-1,611
Will MrBeast say "Apple" during his next YouTube video?$-584
Will MrBeast's next video get between 54.5 and 55 million views on day 6?$-145
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?$-122
Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$-111
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$-49
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$-33
Will MrBeast's next video get between 52 and 52.5 million views on day 5?$-28
Will MrBeast say "Red Line" during his next YouTube video?$-14
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 12?$-13

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.060
Sortino
-0.031
HHI
186
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.050
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.5%
Top-5 markets
21.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
18.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.40
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.0

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1104s — normal for humanCV 2.40 — diverse sizes (human-like)32% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock9 trades/day — normal1.9 markets/day — normal51% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.46
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.9%
Mid (20-55c)7.3%
High (>55c)80.8%

Sessions

#12
6/9/2026, 4:56:24 PM7 trades$1,6779 min
6/8/2026, 6:20:10 PM86 trades$1,16020 min
6/11/2026, 10:51:04 PM3 trades$8770 min
6/9/2026, 7:24:34 PM11 trades$8586 min
8/2/2026, 2:32:06 AM17 trades$7065 min
6/8/2026, 2:56:34 AM68 trades$6925 min
6/7/2026, 5:59:10 PM14 trades$5840 min
8/1/2026, 4:00:20 AM11 trades$5631 min
7/20/2026, 7:58:21 PM5 trades$4700 min
6/10/2026, 9:11:10 PM12 trades$4673 min
6/5/2026, 5:48:42 AM4 trades$3910 min
6/7/2026, 11:24:58 PM1 trades$3910 min
7/10/2026, 3:01:11 PM29 trades$3829 min
7/15/2026, 9:26:14 PM1 trades$3800 min
6/8/2026, 5:02:00 PM18 trades$3732 min
6/10/2026, 2:55:27 PM7 trades$3600 min
6/19/2026, 7:53:47 AM7 trades$3451 min
6/22/2026, 7:44:52 AM13 trades$3375 min
6/4/2026, 7:07:16 AM9 trades$3333 min
6/11/2026, 4:06:18 AM9 trades$3310 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-08
05-02
05-14
06-07
06-19
07-09
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 44 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.46/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.9 / M7.3 / H80.8