@william1102

#79,16211

0x69385ff72e302524f3195e6a4d96b5736af21eaf

~189d· 251 markets · 1207 tradesVol: $62,1002026-08-05 17:25:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

24% (52/220)0/20
0.88x (win $2,297 / loss $2,608)1/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.4630/15
Sortino -0.5660/10
$-0.0599 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 334 (220 markets)10/10
34/120 profitable days (28%)0/10
Max DD 131% of peak ($1,298 / $987)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+1,046
Lottery Player
78% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
84% maker orders

Categories

6
CRYPTO#32,263$906Vol: $45,995
SPORTS#1,642,391$-74Vol: $6,418
📈 ECONOMICS#630,923$-22Vol: $3,267
💰 FINANCE#14,621$150Vol: $2,900
🏛️ POLITICS#1,394,119$-23Vol: $2,613
💻 TECH#6,938$76Vol: $706

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,046
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$62,100
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
251
total markets
Trades
905B / 302S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~189d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$2
Vol: $2
Month
$14
Vol: $4
All Time
$1,046
Vol: $62,100

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
24%
52W / 168L events
Realized PnL
$1,046
Win Rate
24%
52W / 168L
Profit Factor
0.88x
Avg Win
$44
Avg Loss
$-16

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,017 (0.9721492129333169% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down on November 13?$580
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 8?$252
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 17?$186
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 20?$156
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 7?$125
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$98
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 16?$87
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?$74
XRP Up or Down on January 21?$69
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$68

Top Losers

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-722
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-188
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$-182
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)$-122
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-86
Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?$-81
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-81
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)$-77
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 19?$-70
Will the Monad public sale commitments be less than $400M?$-67

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.024
Sortino
-0.025
HHI
315
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.064
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.8%
Top-5 markets
28.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.62
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.7

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 366s — normal for humanCV 2.62 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal84% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.04
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)78.3%
Mid (20-55c)7.5%
High (>55c)14.1%

Sessions

#12
11/13/2025, 4:52:42 PM2 trades$4041 min
12/16/2025, 4:14:39 PM1 trades$2600 min
5/30/2026, 9:47:46 AM11 trades$2136 min
6/1/2026, 1:20:38 PM4 trades$2054 min
12/16/2025, 1:35:05 PM3 trades$1980 min
5/18/2026, 6:02:43 AM33 trades$18410 min
11/15/2025, 4:45:16 AM3 trades$1832 min
12/29/2025, 6:28:29 PM1 trades$1810 min
5/29/2026, 9:48:16 PM4 trades$1711 min
11/25/2025, 6:18:13 PM2 trades$1682 min
6/1/2026, 8:51:10 AM4 trades$1500 min
12/29/2025, 8:58:51 PM1 trades$1470 min
12/17/2025, 3:50:32 PM9 trades$13814 min
11/13/2025, 2:31:26 PM3 trades$1174 min
4/8/2026, 6:13:21 AM2 trades$1160 min
4/30/2026, 4:57:12 PM8 trades$1163 min
4/23/2026, 5:22:54 AM3 trades$1090 min
12/8/2025, 4:32:43 PM2 trades$1060 min
4/8/2026, 9:31:35 PM3 trades$1000 min
5/15/2026, 4:49:42 PM2 trades$1000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-24
11-24
12-19
01-12
02-02
03-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 66 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
25% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.04/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L78.3 / M7.5 / H14.1