racesdavid

@racesdavid

#414,18946

0x6990f17c07df168e885b76f1de291f51bb3e1f8d

~93d· 136 markets · 385 tradesVol: $37,832 @one112233284252026-08-05 02:23:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

46
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

83% (111/134)20/20
1.04x (win $435 / loss $417)3/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0921.7/15
Sortino 0.0991/10
$+0.0007 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 461 (134 markets)10/10
62/72 profitable days (86%)10/10
Max DD 97% of peak ($391 / $404)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 83%
Profitable
PnL $+20
Consistent
62/72 profitable days
Win Streak
17 wins in a row

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#99,834$40Vol: $16,848
CRYPTO#74,243$153Vol: $11,367
🌤️ WEATHER#289,598$-165Vol: $7,415
💰 FINANCE#575,859$-11Vol: $1,884
📈 ECONOMICS#94,580$2Vol: $124
SPORTS#467,087$0Vol: $99
🎭 CULTURE#190,699$1Vol: $62
💻 TECH#59,382$0Vol: $31

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$20
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$37,832
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
136
total markets
Trades
235B / 150S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~93d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$2
Vol: $0
Month
$3
Vol: $0
All Time
$20
Vol: $37,832

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
83%
111W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$20
Win Rate
83%
111W / 23L
Profit Factor
1.04x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-26

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $182 (8.908602150537632% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin above $83,000 on March 21?$119
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$33
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?$30
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$26
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$20
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$20
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$15
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$13
Trump out as President by April 30?$11
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$9

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 16?$-396
Will Japanese PM apologize for China comments in 2025?$-5
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in November?$-4
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$-4
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House$-3
Will Solana dip to $80 in April?$-2
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.005
Sortino
0.002
HHI
317
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.001
Kelly %
11.2%
Half-Kelly
5.6%
Top-1 market
12.8%
Top-5 markets
26.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.40
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.7

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 138s — normal for humanCV 1.40 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal34% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.9
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.9%
Mid (20-55c)3.4%
High (>55c)95.7%

Sessions

#12
11/7/2024, 6:22:07 AM7 trades$2,2625 min
11/7/2024, 7:41:29 PM22 trades$2,10711 min
11/8/2024, 2:02:45 AM3 trades$2,0992 min
11/8/2024, 2:13:17 AM2 trades$1,5971 min
3/24/2025, 1:51:21 PM8 trades$1,1566 min
5/25/2026, 8:59:33 AM11 trades$9762 min
5/13/2026, 9:56:15 AM5 trades$9723 min
5/12/2026, 10:08:45 AM4 trades$9691 min
4/3/2025, 9:19:04 PM1 trades$8960 min
5/12/2026, 8:58:19 AM3 trades$8190 min
5/15/2026, 1:35:08 PM12 trades$7961 min
3/27/2025, 8:07:46 AM2 trades$6491 min
6/13/2026, 11:02:51 AM16 trades$6439 min
10/29/2024, 12:00:06 PM9 trades$63415 min
4/3/2025, 5:36:32 AM1 trades$5960 min
10/29/2024, 11:35:48 AM5 trades$57612 min
10/29/2024, 11:07:42 AM10 trades$55712 min
5/8/2026, 9:20:48 AM4 trades$5110 min
6/9/2026, 12:48:30 PM18 trades$5103 min
6/10/2026, 12:45:18 PM12 trades$5089 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-29
03-03
04-11
07-13
11-23
05-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
32% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.9/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.9 / M3.4 / H95.7