@rockat
#346,548140x699bf57993085d35f0e5312ae0a8165f2c350296
~92d· 496 markets · 8113 tradesVol: $135,4242026-08-04 21:04:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
38% (186/492)3.9/20
0.70x (win $2,024 / loss $2,888)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.6230/15
Sortino -4.4990/10
$-0.1567 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 96 (492 markets)10/10
21/78 profitable days (27%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($1,042 / $0)0/10
Badges
4Profitable
PnL $+38
Lottery Player
63% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
4🎭 CULTURE#15,942$157Vol: $131,308
⚽ SPORTS#1,669,614$-95Vol: $3,722
₿ CRYPTO#1,133,066$-9Vol: $271
🌤️ WEATHER#254,760$-15Vol: $123
Overview
#1Net PnL
$38
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$135,424
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
496
total markets
Trades
4940B / 3173S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~92d
Periods
#2Today
$-104
Vol: $2,500
Week
$-33
Vol: $4,821
Month
$-173
Vol: $7,564
All Time
$38
Vol: $135,424
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
38%
186W / 302L events
Realized PnL
$38
Win Rate
38%
186W / 302L
Profit Factor
0.7x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-10
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $647 (17.13615894039735% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$251
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$209
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$187
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$133
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$110
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$107
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$99
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$88
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$61
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$58
Top Losers
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$-124
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$-89
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$-80
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$-70
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$-65
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$-65
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$-64
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-56
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$-50
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$-46
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.188
Sortino
-0.237
HHI
109
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.153
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.9%
Top-5 markets
15.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
76.5
Very active
Markets / Day
4.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
24.9m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.04
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
29.4
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 164s — normal for humanCV 5.04 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock77 trades/day — mass trading4.7 markets/day — normal60% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 16:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
16.54
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)62.7%
Mid (20-55c)11.4%
High (>55c)25.9%
Sessions
#126/17/2026, 10:04:44 PM38 trades$62011 min
6/26/2026, 2:26:16 PM10 trades$5204 min
5/16/2026, 2:10:30 PM37 trades$4776 min
6/4/2026, 11:55:28 AM21 trades$40211 min
5/3/2026, 9:06:30 AM50 trades$29126 min
6/12/2026, 4:02:07 PM117 trades$26317 min
6/5/2026, 3:19:06 PM34 trades$23312 min
6/9/2026, 9:26:40 PM70 trades$21015 min
7/21/2026, 3:26:13 PM9 trades$1947 min
6/7/2026, 4:29:03 AM4 trades$1860 min
4/21/2026, 5:32:50 PM35 trades$1866 min
4/27/2026, 5:23:14 AM39 trades$1746 min
5/1/2026, 6:09:02 PM37 trades$1683 min
5/17/2026, 5:55:59 AM5 trades$1550 min
5/21/2026, 9:33:18 PM5 trades$1531 min
7/10/2026, 2:59:16 PM12 trades$15114 min
5/13/2026, 7:39:37 AM40 trades$14510 min
6/16/2026, 4:00:05 PM40 trades$13416 min
5/15/2026, 1:13:23 AM27 trades$1261 min
6/20/2026, 6:16:20 PM84 trades$12037 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-21
05-13
06-05
06-19
07-02
07-16
08-04
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.54/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L62.7 / M11.4 / H25.9