ToastGato

@ToastGato

#63,73771

0x6a70050e907b6be5457d9681a14e4d2f4a3a18f0

~105d· 452 markets · 1786 tradesVol: $237,8352026-08-04 22:44:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

71
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (221/439)10.2/20
1.41x (win $26,981 / loss $19,129)7.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.51515/15
Sortino 7.94210/10
$+0.0834 per $1 invested4.2/10
HHI 74 (439 markets)10/10
42/83 profitable days (51%)5.2/10
Max DD 26% of peak ($2,112 / $8,114)8.8/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+1,518
Whale
$94,124 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 26%
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#20,589$804Vol: $40,258
🎭 CULTURE#810,928$-1,024Vol: $27,782
CRYPTO#1,609,416$-795Vol: $25,207
💰 FINANCE#1,679$3,043Vol: $19,778
SPORTS#71,188$311Vol: $17,923
📈 ECONOMICS#673,476$-346Vol: $8,803
📢 MENTIONS#166,362$-130Vol: $1,570
🌤️ WEATHER#293,801$-335Vol: $772
💻 TECH#251,909$-155Vol: $355

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,518
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$237,835
Total Redeem
$41
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
452
total markets
Trades
1349B / 437S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~105d

Periods

#2
Today
$-445
Vol: $0
Week
$-49
Vol: $2,414
Month
$-665
Vol: $8,640
All Time
$1,518
Vol: $237,835

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
221W / 217L events
Realized PnL
$1,518
Win Rate
50%
221W / 217L
Profit Factor
1.41x
Avg Win
$122
Avg Loss
$-90

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,234 (3.4488775261427356% of PnL)

Top Winners

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$2,607
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$1,348
Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration? $1,279
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?$1,171
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?$1,130
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$701
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$608
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$523
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$522
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?$471

Top Losers

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$-620
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs$-611
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 2?$-476
Will A Minecraft Movie be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?$-458
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?$-450
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winner$-424
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-395
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner$-393
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$-366
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner$-360

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.183
Sortino
0.360
HHI
58
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.090
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.5%
Top-5 markets
9.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.80
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.3

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 152s — normal for humanCV 1.80 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.56
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.6%
Mid (20-55c)31.2%
High (>55c)57.2%

Sessions

#12
8/1/2026, 6:35:29 PM2 trades$2,8130 min
2/15/2026, 11:13:27 PM5 trades$2,2014 min
5/8/2026, 9:12:14 AM7 trades$2,1103 min
2/9/2026, 1:55:47 AM12 trades$2,07513 min
6/3/2026, 10:27:48 PM9 trades$2,0432 min
1/19/2026, 9:43:30 AM9 trades$2,02415 min
2/21/2026, 8:55:34 PM2 trades$1,9731 min
3/8/2026, 1:14:51 AM3 trades$1,9302 min
4/25/2026, 7:18:40 PM26 trades$1,89412 min
4/25/2026, 7:11:40 PM18 trades$1,8861 min
6/15/2026, 8:38:46 PM18 trades$1,8453 min
2/5/2026, 9:25:51 AM15 trades$1,74118 min
3/1/2026, 10:23:41 AM9 trades$1,5447 min
3/2/2026, 12:49:49 AM6 trades$1,5372 min
2/20/2026, 11:36:14 AM3 trades$1,4066 min
3/3/2026, 12:29:09 PM5 trades$1,3731 min
1/18/2026, 12:43:12 PM1 trades$1,1550 min
1/19/2026, 9:16:32 AM1 trades$1,1550 min
2/5/2026, 10:51:07 AM4 trades$1,1221 min
3/2/2026, 7:25:47 AM23 trades$1,12111 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-05
01-24
02-10
02-24
03-09
05-16
06-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 18 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
24.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.56/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.6 / M31.2 / H57.2