MrCalchas

@MrCalchas

#3,051,08710

0x6ac6d9d7c8ed9b0637159ee8485108d9175b82a6

~342d· 1299 markets · 5583 tradesVol: $1,356,0752026-08-05 00:31:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

19% (248/1286)0/20
0.66x (win $13,213 / loss $20,128)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.5000/15
Sortino -3.0230/10
$-0.1965 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 49 (1286 markets)10/10
76/297 profitable days (26%)0/10
Max DD 331% of peak ($9,902 / $2,987)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
87% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🎭 CULTURE#815,775$-4,691Vol: $843,033
SPORTS#1,826,788$-997Vol: $286,289
CRYPTO#54,813$291Vol: $79,249
📈 ECONOMICS#678,442$-886Vol: $53,187
🏛️ POLITICS#1,545,314$-145Vol: $46,664
💰 FINANCE#20,344$81Vol: $23,626
📢 MENTIONS#170,328$-248Vol: $14,776
💻 TECH#8,552$50Vol: $4,341

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-6,779
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,356,075
Total Redeem
$163
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1299
total markets
Trades
4402B / 1181S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~342d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $515
Week
$-1
Vol: $515
Month
$-0
Vol: $515
All Time
$-6,779
Vol: $1,356,075

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
19%
248W / 1038L events
Realized PnL
$-6,779
Win Rate
19%
248W / 1038L
Profit Factor
0.66x
Avg Win
$53
Avg Loss
$-20

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,584 (0.38116677927496% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Trump x Rogan interview last 150-180 min?$941
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?$822
Will Elon tweet 400 or more times Oct 25 - Nov 1?$821
Will Trump tweet 80-89 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?$717
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?$631
Will Trump tweet 50 or more times October 18-25?$288
S&P500 all time high after election is called?$285
KSI's "Thick Of It" debuts on Billboard hot 100?$266
Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?$260
Will Coinbase list $PEPE in 2024?$228

Top Losers

Will Elon tweet 255–269 times June 27–July 4?$-1,464
Will Elon tweet 270 or more times June 27–July 4?$-461
Will DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day?$-431
Will Elon tweet 600 or more times November 1-8?$-324
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times June 27–July 4?$-314
Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?$-277
Total crypto market cap over $4 trillion on Jan 20?$-269
Will Elon tweet 575-599 times November 1-8?$-247
Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?$-247
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-231

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.131
Sortino
-0.147
HHI
49
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.195
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.2%
Top-5 markets
8.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.05
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 122s — normal for humanCV 3.05 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal1.9 markets/day — normal50% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.42
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)87.2%
Mid (20-55c)6.8%
High (>55c)6%

Sessions

#12
5/10/2026, 9:19:10 AM69 trades$2,3968 min
11/1/2024, 3:03:04 PM112 trades$1,33047 min
4/20/2026, 2:19:42 PM2 trades$1,1670 min
5/18/2026, 9:27:40 AM20 trades$1,1115 min
11/2/2024, 3:52:16 AM10 trades$1,1038 min
10/27/2024, 8:50:58 PM9 trades$99016 min
7/1/2025, 4:12:13 PM1 trades$9200 min
5/25/2026, 10:08:08 PM5 trades$8250 min
5/1/2026, 5:43:40 PM24 trades$7912 min
4/3/2026, 1:35:15 PM13 trades$6563 min
7/3/2025, 7:29:37 AM3 trades$6543 min
11/12/2024, 7:47:25 AM6 trades$64911 min
5/4/2026, 10:11:52 AM18 trades$6127 min
4/30/2026, 8:18:08 PM14 trades$5997 min
4/18/2026, 4:52:22 PM21 trades$5997 min
11/14/2024, 8:22:05 AM6 trades$51910 min
12/20/2024, 10:30:10 AM17 trades$49921 min
11/12/2024, 7:49:11 PM9 trades$4866 min
10/25/2024, 10:34:38 AM15 trades$48310 min
4/25/2026, 5:58:28 PM12 trades$4721 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-10
11-05
04-30
08-18
11-18
03-31
06-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 622 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
21.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.42/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L87.2 / M6.8 / H6