@GailMurphy340

#687,64240

0x6b1bba637213806f244d840885b1fc73bd693f6d

~62d· 171 markets · 640 tradesVol: $9,4842026-08-05 17:30:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

86% (147/171)20/20
0.43x (win $8 / loss $18)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.4830/15
Sortino -1.4850/10
$-0.0024 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 80 (171 markets)10/10
51/56 profitable days (91%)10/10
Max DD 838% of peak ($18 / $2)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 86%
Profitable
PnL $+1
Consistent
51/56 profitable days
Win Streak
29 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🌤️ WEATHER#67,085$1Vol: $6,006
₿ CRYPTO#526,252$0Vol: $1,626
🎭 CULTURE#173,737$1Vol: $544
💰 FINANCE#381,912$-0Vol: $435
🏛️ POLITICS#661,725$-0Vol: $410
⚽ SPORTS#520,550$0Vol: $189
📈 ECONOMICS#320,912$-0Vol: $170
💻 TECH#142,600$-0Vol: $104

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,484
Total Redeem
$10
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
171
total markets
Trades
367B / 273S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~62d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $41
Week
$1
Vol: $41
Month
$1
Vol: $47
All Time
$1
Vol: $9,484

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
86%
147W / 24L events
Realized PnL
$1
Win Rate
86%
147W / 24L
Profit Factor
0.43x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1 (0.7642857142857143% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$1
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 30?$0
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on July 28?$0
Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026?$0
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by July 31?$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$0
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 81°F or below on July 30?$0
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 48-49°F on May 3?$0
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 42°F or higher on May 8?$0
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.90T and $1.00T on July 31?$0

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?$-18

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.077
Sortino
-183.750
HHI
79
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.1%
Top-5 markets
8.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3h
between trades
Avg Gap
2.9h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.67
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 4577s — normal for humanCV 0.67 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal57% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.78
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.5%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)99.5%

Sessions

#12
12/7/2025, 10:19:39 PM1 trades$890 min
7/29/2026, 11:50:20 PM7 trades$793 min
5/4/2026, 4:51:52 AM6 trades$783 min
4/30/2026, 4:09:18 PM6 trades$725 min
7/19/2026, 8:08:12 PM5 trades$620 min
7/29/2026, 12:15:03 PM6 trades$623 min
7/23/2026, 10:19:49 AM2 trades$570 min
7/18/2026, 11:05:12 PM2 trades$540 min
7/19/2026, 11:33:15 AM2 trades$540 min
7/30/2026, 5:49:11 PM2 trades$540 min
7/10/2026, 1:11:23 PM2 trades$520 min
7/30/2026, 10:20:42 PM4 trades$511 min
5/14/2026, 10:45:38 PM10 trades$5116 min
4/29/2026, 9:33:08 AM4 trades$511 min
7/22/2026, 7:27:00 PM3 trades$460 min
5/14/2026, 10:33:11 PM4 trades$431 min
4/30/2026, 3:49:48 PM2 trades$400 min
5/3/2026, 11:37:52 AM2 trades$390 min
5/7/2026, 1:25:38 AM2 trades$380 min
5/12/2026, 6:24:19 AM5 trades$381 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-07
04-30
05-10
05-19
06-05
07-19
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
60% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.78/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.5 / M0 / H99.5