Rdl

@Rdl

#59,06025

0x6b1cdcfec73c9c849a7e1a9b4f4c697bd0585fe8

~105d· 358 markets · 27585 tradesVol: $1,364,2612026-08-06 06:18:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

25
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

49% (147/303)9.3/20
0.33x (win $14,107 / loss $42,250)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.0440/15
Sortino -3.1220/10
$-0.2105 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 469 (303 markets)10/10
45/87 profitable days (52%)5.4/10
Max DD 558% of peak ($34,290 / $6,148)0/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+1,695
Contrarian
54% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
9% sells
DCA Master
Avg 83.4 entries/market
Whale
$133,718 invested
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
98% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#16,724$1,117Vol: $952,804
🎭 CULTURE#16,534$148Vol: $73,547
📢 MENTIONS#169,048$-194Vol: $70,699
SPORTS#57,923$482Vol: $69,027
📈 ECONOMICS#52,951$6Vol: $57,123
💰 FINANCE#22,123$69Vol: $47,072
💻 TECH#3,374$262Vol: $43,219
CRYPTO#1,516,827$-156Vol: $39,792
🌤️ WEATHER#15,727$22Vol: $4,066

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,695
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,364,261
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
358
total markets
Trades
25170B / 2415S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~105d

Periods

#2
Today
$13
Vol: $5,343
Week
$72
Vol: $59,271
Month
$45
Vol: $65,673
All Time
$1,695
Vol: $1,364,261

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
49%
147W / 156L events
Realized PnL
$1,695
Win Rate
49%
147W / 156L
Profit Factor
0.33x
Avg Win
$96
Avg Loss
$-278

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,724 (5.147771392157094% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$4,583
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$2,418
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$1,723
Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$574
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$399
Will Joey Chestnut eat 65 or more Hot Dogs?$380
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" during Elon interview?$352
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?$339
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?$318
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?$221

Top Losers

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-13,933
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?$-7,567
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$-3,323
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$-1,997
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$-1,917
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$-1,785
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$-1,121
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-1,042
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$-843
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$-678

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.158
Sortino
-0.119
HHI
394
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.221
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.4%
Top-5 markets
37.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
36.1
Active
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
5.9m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.66
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
54 min
Avg Trades / Session
102.0

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 66s — normal for humanCV 3.66 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock36 trades/day — high frequency0.5 markets/day — normal98% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
83.37
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)29.7%
Mid (20-55c)24.4%
High (>55c)46%

Sessions

#12
8/12/2024, 10:25:37 PM44 trades$4,19335 min
7/14/2024, 6:51:49 PM39 trades$4,07346 min
8/12/2024, 11:55:11 PM33 trades$3,66135 min
8/13/2024, 1:24:41 AM77 trades$3,37639 min
8/13/2024, 12:47:03 AM40 trades$2,75032 min
8/5/2024, 10:38:19 PM17 trades$2,55020 min
8/6/2024, 12:09:31 AM18 trades$2,32713 min
8/5/2024, 11:05:07 PM29 trades$2,03531 min
7/8/2026, 7:31:19 PM381 trades$1,852146 min
7/20/2026, 11:16:39 AM498 trades$1,723268 min
7/14/2024, 7:42:45 PM8 trades$1,51417 min
7/13/2026, 5:01:11 PM658 trades$1,418292 min
7/11/2026, 9:47:58 PM487 trades$1,372224 min
7/13/2026, 12:47:32 PM531 trades$1,278248 min
8/12/2024, 10:00:41 PM16 trades$1,25818 min
7/30/2024, 5:17:12 PM8 trades$1,13010 min
7/30/2024, 4:36:56 PM16 trades$1,10424 min
8/4/2024, 1:48:57 PM10 trades$1,07112 min
7/19/2024, 12:26:16 AM29 trades$94027 min
8/1/2024, 5:55:12 AM15 trades$91316 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-05
07-19
08-06
09-03
10-04
07-15
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 19 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
8.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 83.37/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L29.7 / M24.4 / H46