@bvlk

#1,921,08044

0x6b2d750750e855ca466703fa0e06c73ce1227444

~19d· 46 markets · 126 tradesVol: $11,3572026-08-04 23:36:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

44
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

30% (10/33)0.2/20
1.71x (win $49 / loss $29)11.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.17115/15
Sortino 5.81310/10
$+0.0031 per $1 invested0.2/10
HHI 1385 (33 markets)5.6/10
5/13 profitable days (38%)2.1/10
Max DD 128% of peak ($26 / $20)0/10

Categories

7
₿ CRYPTO#1,153,531$-10Vol: $3,942
🏛️ POLITICS#947,644$-1Vol: $2,709
⚽ SPORTS#969,964$-1Vol: $2,075
📈 ECONOMICS#447,459$-1Vol: $1,611
🎭 CULTURE#180,670$1Vol: $591
💻 TECH#164,030$-0Vol: $344
💰 FINANCE#373,338$-0Vol: $85

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-13
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,357
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
46
total markets
Trades
62B / 64S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $292
Week
$-0
Vol: $292
Month
$-0
Vol: $292
All Time
$-13
Vol: $11,357

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
30%
10W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$-13
Win Rate
30%
10W / 23L
Profit Factor
1.71x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $45 (3.4882812500000004% of PnL)

Top Winners

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$31
Will Jiří Lehečka be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$11
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?$2
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$1
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$1
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?$1
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$0
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$0
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 22?$0

Top Losers

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?$-16
Will Ethereum reach $6000 in October?$-9
USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?$-1
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$-1
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$-0
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?$-0
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?$-0
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on February 22?$-0
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.109
Sortino
0.267
HHI
2516
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
40%
Top-5 markets
92.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
46s
between trades
Avg Gap
17.8m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
34
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.7

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 46s — normal for humanCV 1.79 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern12/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal25% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.33
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.2%
Mid (20-55c)1.6%
High (>55c)95.2%

Sessions

#12
7/3/2026, 7:35:10 AM4 trades$1,4300 min
3/1/2026, 2:08:01 PM4 trades$1,3732 min
3/1/2026, 1:55:43 PM5 trades$9604 min
3/1/2026, 2:22:31 PM3 trades$8845 min
7/3/2026, 7:57:52 AM6 trades$8750 min
7/3/2026, 7:14:53 AM4 trades$7930 min
7/3/2026, 7:49:01 AM6 trades$7771 min
1/7/2026, 3:01:51 PM16 trades$77517 min
2/22/2026, 1:45:52 PM5 trades$7566 min
2/22/2026, 1:18:42 PM4 trades$7512 min
1/16/2026, 6:24:42 AM4 trades$1692 min
5/28/2026, 3:03:09 PM2 trades$1080 min
8/4/2026, 9:58:06 AM11 trades$1034 min
8/4/2026, 9:21:21 AM6 trades$871 min
1/16/2026, 6:34:54 AM2 trades$850 min
1/16/2026, 6:15:58 AM2 trades$841 min
5/28/2026, 2:49:02 PM4 trades$704 min
4/2/2026, 2:12:49 PM6 trades$235 min
12/15/2025, 4:07:39 PM3 trades$221 min
12/16/2025, 6:02:15 AM3 trades$220 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-08
01-07
02-22
03-13
03-23
05-28
07-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.33/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.2 / M1.6 / H95.2