@ruanruan

#146,11273

0x6b46411b26bd11270a232ecbf472a71b30e8dbc7

~41d· 485 markets · 1659 tradesVol: $85,1812026-08-05 02:04:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

73
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

92% (445/485)20/20
1.39x (win $1,027 / loss $738)7.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.09015/15
Sortino 2.35710/10
$+0.0082 per $1 invested0.4/10
HHI 64 (485 markets)10/10
35/41 profitable days (85%)10/10
Max DD 94% of peak ($397 / $423)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 92%
Profitable
PnL $+298
Consistent
35/41 profitable days
Win Streak
81 wins in a row

Categories

2
🌤️ WEATHER#3,619$326Vol: $82,937
SPORTS#1,509,931$-28Vol: $2,244

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$298
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$85,181
Total Redeem
$20
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
485
total markets
Trades
704B / 955S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~41d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
92%
445W / 40L events
Realized PnL
$298
Win Rate
92%
445W / 40L
Profit Factor
1.39x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-105

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $150 (0.5016595701880846% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$75
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or below on June 11?$42
Will Czechia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$32
Will South Africa reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$32
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on June 5?$30
Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$29
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or below on May 12?$28
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?$25
Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$22
Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$18

Top Losers

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-368
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on June 13?$-153
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on May 13?$-97
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 16?$-50
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on May 8?$-50
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 12?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.108
Sortino
0.054
HHI
69
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.008
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.6%
Top-5 markets
11.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
22.4
Active
Markets / Day
6.6
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.33
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.3

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 180s — normal for humanCV 1.33 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours21/24 hours — extended activity22 trades/day — high frequency6.6 markets/day — normal42% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.44
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

Sessions

#12
6/10/2026, 1:48:18 PM79 trades$2,15642 min
6/13/2026, 8:45:46 AM48 trades$1,55235 min
6/4/2026, 10:54:48 PM20 trades$1,23818 min
6/5/2026, 11:21:51 PM16 trades$91613 min
6/18/2026, 2:53:07 PM29 trades$90426 min
6/7/2026, 1:12:43 AM12 trades$8667 min
6/4/2026, 3:01:28 PM9 trades$8643 min
6/6/2026, 10:35:24 AM18 trades$6497 min
6/7/2026, 12:48:22 AM12 trades$6440 min
5/10/2026, 1:26:28 AM16 trades$62815 min
6/17/2026, 1:42:56 PM40 trades$59527 min
6/11/2026, 4:04:42 PM24 trades$57219 min
7/6/2026, 2:52:59 PM20 trades$56312 min
6/7/2026, 1:52:42 PM30 trades$52214 min
6/24/2026, 11:43:40 AM3 trades$5000 min
6/5/2026, 11:41:25 PM13 trades$46512 min
6/24/2026, 3:33:11 PM2 trades$4030 min
5/12/2026, 11:50:52 AM34 trades$39041 min
6/7/2026, 1:30:24 PM34 trades$38715 min
6/6/2026, 10:11:06 AM13 trades$3794 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-07
05-13
06-06
06-12
06-18
06-25
07-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
78% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.44/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100