@xmaninnorth

#234,88043

0x6c27c33e426cebc85065ca17904a15a741cc4db9

~57d· 475 markets · 1222 tradesVol: $26,5432026-08-05 00:40:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

43
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

2% (9/474)0/20
1.24x (win $62 / loss $50)5.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.79815/15
Sortino 2.39910/10
$+0.0374 per $1 invested1.9/10
HHI 118 (474 markets)10/10
4/54 profitable days (7%)0/10
Max DD 66% of peak ($16 / $24)0.8/10

Badges

1
Profitable
PnL $+104

Categories

2
🌤️ WEATHER#7,030$101Vol: $26,491
⚽ SPORTS#365,687$3Vol: $53

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$104
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$26,543
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
475
total markets
Trades
612B / 610S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~57d

Periods

#2
Today
$4
Vol: $230
Week
$-9
Vol: $1,049
Month
$-8
Vol: $1,467
All Time
$104
Vol: $26,543

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
2%
9W / 465L events
Realized PnL
$104
Win Rate
2%
9W / 465L
Profit Factor
1.24x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $57 (0.5488541566784927% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or below on May 9?$33
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C or below on June 5?$15
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 16?$9
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 4?$3
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 4?$1

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 12?$-6
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on July 31?$-5
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on May 3?$-4
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 4?$-4
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 15?$-4
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on July 11?$-3
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 4?$-3
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 5?$-3
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 14?$-2
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 4?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.041
Sortino
0.123
HHI
338
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.044
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.1%
Top-5 markets
34.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.6
Active
Markets / Day
4.9
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
31s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
75%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.14
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.4

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
HIGH
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 31s — normal for humanCV 4.14 — diverse sizes (human-like)74% night trades — never sleeps21/24 hours — extended activity13 trades/day — very active4.9 markets/day — normal50% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.57
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.6%
Mid (20-55c)0.8%
High (>55c)97.5%

Sessions

#12
6/19/2026, 12:02:04 AM23 trades$823 min
6/26/2026, 12:03:05 AM16 trades$705 min
8/2/2026, 6:51:23 PM4 trades$670 min
5/4/2026, 4:38:34 AM4 trades$400 min
5/9/2026, 8:50:55 AM2 trades$400 min
5/3/2026, 7:09:34 AM4 trades$400 min
5/3/2026, 7:14:38 AM5 trades$391 min
6/23/2026, 2:27:13 AM2 trades$380 min
6/14/2026, 5:45:27 AM14 trades$381 min
5/14/2026, 12:02:00 AM23 trades$372 min
5/4/2026, 5:16:04 AM10 trades$291 min
6/14/2026, 12:08:07 AM23 trades$2612 min
5/1/2026, 11:12:50 PM9 trades$260 min
6/7/2026, 6:49:07 AM11 trades$257 min
5/2/2026, 1:29:50 AM21 trades$244 min
6/15/2026, 12:03:54 AM19 trades$247 min
6/17/2026, 12:04:05 AM23 trades$247 min
6/18/2026, 2:56:38 AM23 trades$231 min
6/11/2026, 12:02:48 AM21 trades$226 min
7/30/2026, 12:03:05 AM17 trades$223 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-29
05-10
06-04
06-13
06-23
07-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 26 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
94% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.57/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.6 / M0.8 / H97.5