CaliMacon

@CaliMacon

#2,832,9312

0x6c3711962f21ae7c2038a328993dc11fdc44c5f2

~23d· 65 markets · 343 tradesVol: $111,839 @Giocalledit2026-08-04 23:12:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

2
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

31% (20/64)0.6/20
0.24x (win $1,001 / loss $4,188)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.5280/15
Sortino -7.7560/10
$-0.8524 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2289 (64 markets)1.1/10
2/21 profitable days (10%)0/10
Max DD 1102% of peak ($3,505 / $318)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
53% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

3
CRYPTO#1,584,150$-438Vol: $110,919
💰 FINANCE#530,783$-4Vol: $895
🏛️ POLITICS#478,298$0Vol: $25

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-441
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$111,839
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
65
total markets
Trades
127B / 216S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~23d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-441
Vol: $111,839

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
31%
20W / 44L events
Realized PnL
$-441
Win Rate
31%
20W / 44L
Profit Factor
0.24x
Avg Win
$50
Avg Loss
$-95

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $894 (2.0248499263789785% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 7?$819
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$16
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$6

Top Losers

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?$-986
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8?$-957
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 11?$-516
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12?$-499
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 4?$-362
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$-109
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$-108
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12?$-90
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 21?$-79
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 14?$-53

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.385
Sortino
-0.445
HHI
806
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.853
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.6%
Top-5 markets
57.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.56
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.1

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 239s — normal for humanCV 2.56 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours22/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal17% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.28
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)52.8%
Mid (20-55c)33.1%
High (>55c)14.2%

Sessions

#12
5/8/2026, 2:13:22 AM35 trades$9,4953 min
5/8/2026, 1:28:29 PM59 trades$7,1914 min
5/12/2026, 7:25:13 AM14 trades$6,6780 min
5/13/2026, 10:23:42 AM3 trades$6,6610 min
6/21/2026, 4:51:41 AM13 trades$6,2320 min
6/5/2026, 1:30:33 AM6 trades$1,8560 min
6/21/2026, 12:58:04 PM13 trades$1,1250 min
2/3/2026, 6:26:06 PM1 trades$1,0040 min
6/11/2026, 11:13:10 PM14 trades$7271 min
6/11/2026, 3:51:19 PM7 trades$6391 min
6/11/2026, 1:12:52 AM3 trades$5951 min
6/11/2026, 3:39:39 PM13 trades$5386 min
2/2/2026, 5:39:32 PM2 trades$4301 min
2/3/2026, 6:52:56 PM3 trades$3695 min
7/8/2026, 6:32:41 PM8 trades$2690 min
2/1/2026, 9:02:12 PM2 trades$2424 min
2/18/2026, 5:24:08 AM7 trades$21611 min
5/9/2026, 8:17:12 AM9 trades$2064 min
2/3/2026, 9:42:26 PM12 trades$1488 min
2/3/2026, 8:16:52 PM7 trades$959 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-14
02-04
02-15
02-20
05-12
06-07
06-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 153 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
63% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.28/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L52.8 / M33.1 / H14.2