8.btc

@8.btc

#2,857,26264

0x6c646e86d8620ffe3987dbdb4a04d63dab35ac0b

~13d· 23 markets · 672 tradesVol: $464,7492026-08-04 14:07:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

64
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

26% (6/23)0/20
2.89x (win $24,255 / loss $8,396)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 8.18315/15
Sortino 31.95810/10
$+0.6619 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 3166 (23 markets)0/10
4/9 profitable days (44%)3.6/10
Max DD 18% of peak ($3,572 / $19,432)10/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
39% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 18%
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
74% maker orders

Categories

3
📈 ECONOMICS#669,586$-218Vol: $211,960
💰 FINANCE#653,738$-974Vol: $126,446
🏛️ POLITICS#23,177$662Vol: $126,343

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-531
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$464,749
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
23
total markets
Trades
496B / 176S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
26%
6W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$-531
Win Rate
26%
6W / 17L
Profit Factor
2.89x
Avg Win
$4,043
Avg Loss
$-494

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $23,074 (43.484198028758264% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$11,339
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$6,746
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$4,989
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$587
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11?$514
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?$81

Top Losers

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-1,166
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?$-944
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?$-830
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?$-800
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-659
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$-603
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$-560
Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$-550
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?$-549
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12?$-510

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.404
Sortino
1.822
HHI
1091
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.662
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
24.3%
Top-5 markets
61%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.9
Active
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
33.8m
between trades
Night Trading
57%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.26
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.2

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 112s — normal for humanCV 3.26 — diverse sizes (human-like)57% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active0.4 markets/day — normal74% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
29.22
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)38.7%
Mid (20-55c)6.9%
High (>55c)54.4%

Sessions

#12
7/28/2026, 3:37:43 PM21 trades$22,5181 min
7/28/2026, 5:37:22 AM17 trades$12,8510 min
7/29/2026, 2:16:18 AM39 trades$12,8360 min
6/10/2026, 1:27:10 PM9 trades$9,1350 min
6/10/2026, 1:38:55 PM8 trades$6,2473 min
7/29/2026, 12:17:11 AM4 trades$4,7330 min
6/19/2026, 7:03:29 AM19 trades$2,5843 min
6/17/2026, 11:10:58 PM2 trades$2,2590 min
6/12/2026, 5:44:12 AM19 trades$1,7666 min
6/17/2026, 10:17:16 PM4 trades$9841 min
6/19/2026, 8:52:55 AM3 trades$9500 min
6/16/2026, 9:37:55 AM5 trades$9320 min
6/12/2026, 10:25:10 AM1 trades$8450 min
6/12/2026, 2:32:58 AM2 trades$8310 min
6/14/2026, 12:47:51 PM10 trades$7390 min
6/12/2026, 1:02:06 AM6 trades$6914 min
6/11/2026, 7:31:55 AM3 trades$6822 min
6/11/2026, 1:07:51 AM7 trades$6580 min
6/12/2026, 7:47:10 PM1 trades$6580 min
6/12/2026, 12:02:40 AM1 trades$5690 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-11
06-12
06-14
06-16
06-17
06-18
06-19
06-21
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 43 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 29.22/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L38.7 / M6.9 / H54.4