@AYTLS

#3,039,48210

0x6c9270dd57ffcaf25d59ee946b2b524828b89627

~47d· 162 markets · 1943 tradesVol: $408,5342026-08-04 19:59:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

21% (32/150)0/20
0.57x (win $22,339 / loss $39,428)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.3360/15
Sortino -5.7210/10
$-0.2775 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 253 (150 markets)10/10
8/33 profitable days (24%)0/10
Max DD 547% of peak ($20,911 / $3,822)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
52% entries < $0.55
Whale
$61,593 invested
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#23,749$636Vol: $304,425
SPORTS#1,874,126$-5,152Vol: $104,109

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-4,516
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$408,534
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
162
total markets
Trades
430B / 1513S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~47d

Periods

#2
Today
$-694
Vol: $14,396
Week
$-789
Vol: $43,914
Month
$-2,641
Vol: $46,057
All Time
$-4,516
Vol: $408,534

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
21%
32W / 118L events
Realized PnL
$-3,769
Win Rate
21%
32W / 118L
Profit Factor
0.57x
Avg Win
$698
Avg Loss
$-383

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9,479 (2.5148019421081957% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?$5,351
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$2,100
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?$2,028
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,640
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?$926
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5$881
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$880
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$745
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$728
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5$640

Top Losers

Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?$-4,344
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?$-3,063
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$-2,407
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?$-1,820
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$-1,600
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?$-1,217
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?$-1,192
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$-1,126
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$-843
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$-830

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.224
Sortino
-0.328
HHI
177
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.310
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7%
Top-5 markets
22%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
30.4
Active
Markets / Day
2.5
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.0

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 570s — normal for humanCV 1.10 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock30 trades/day — high frequency2.5 markets/day — normal22% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.46
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26.3%
Mid (20-55c)25.8%
High (>55c)47.9%

Sessions

#12
7/26/2026, 3:55:25 PM44 trades$7,2727 min
7/13/2026, 2:07:49 PM15 trades$6,3492 min
6/20/2026, 2:47:53 PM16 trades$4,6268 min
6/14/2026, 10:33:30 AM11 trades$4,2700 min
6/14/2026, 6:43:58 PM22 trades$3,5364 min
6/20/2026, 7:54:41 PM16 trades$3,4923 min
6/12/2026, 1:43:58 PM14 trades$3,4833 min
7/8/2026, 8:18:40 AM22 trades$3,0633 min
7/3/2026, 3:54:25 PM5 trades$2,9560 min
7/13/2026, 9:42:43 AM2 trades$2,9510 min
6/24/2026, 11:43:37 AM13 trades$2,9201 min
7/29/2026, 10:00:15 AM11 trades$2,7060 min
6/11/2026, 7:26:36 AM41 trades$2,6913 min
6/18/2026, 12:04:07 PM13 trades$2,6826 min
6/16/2026, 11:59:55 PM8 trades$2,6121 min
7/13/2026, 2:21:19 PM3 trades$2,6080 min
6/11/2026, 5:30:22 AM20 trades$2,5912 min
6/19/2026, 2:54:20 PM9 trades$2,3176 min
6/10/2026, 8:01:16 AM24 trades$2,2437 min
6/21/2026, 9:02:16 PM23 trades$2,2354 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-31
06-11
06-16
06-21
06-27
07-10
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 48 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
77.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.46/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L26.3 / M25.8 / H47.9