DoubleAgentKrasnov

@DoubleAgentKrasnov

#33,14196

0x6d8c602a087dcd47938514fedbc684dec56cb79a

~184d· 179 markets · 1181 tradesVol: $51,273 @DoubleAgntKrsnv2026-08-04 18:54:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

96
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

79% (125/159)20/20
2.80x (win $5,520 / loss $1,973)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.86915/15
Sortino 10.22010/10
$+0.1131 per $1 invested5.7/10
HHI 187 (159 markets)10/10
75/100 profitable days (75%)10/10
Max DD 14% of peak ($506 / $3,660)10/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 79%
Profitable
PnL $+3,587
DCA Master
Avg 6.6 entries/market
Consistent
75/100 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 14%
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#8,012$3,523Vol: $44,749
🌤️ WEATHER#28,170$6Vol: $3,098
SPORTS#130,505$86Vol: $2,028
CRYPTO#185,407$19Vol: $530
📈 ECONOMICS#646,741$-48Vol: $419
🎭 CULTURE#700,289$-12Vol: $328
📢 MENTIONS#24,449$6Vol: $63

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,587
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$51,273
Total Redeem
$63
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
179
total markets
Trades
769B / 412S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~184d

Periods

#2
Today
$-275
Vol: $755
Week
$-272
Vol: $755
Month
$-254
Vol: $755
All Time
$3,587
Vol: $51,273

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
79%
125W / 34L events
Realized PnL
$3,587
Win Rate
79%
125W / 34L
Profit Factor
2.8x
Avg Win
$44
Avg Loss
$-64

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,401 (0.3904894675942061% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Russia enter Svitle by September 30?$501
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by July 31, 2026?$461
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?$439
Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by May 31, 2026?$313
Will Russia enter Serhiivka by July 31?$191
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?$184
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?$170
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?$157
Will Jordan be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?$154
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$148

Top Losers

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$-506
Will Cape Verde be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?$-207
Will DR Congo be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?$-134
Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?$-113
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?$-110
Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by May 31?$-100
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31?$-85
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 27?$-82
Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on August 27?$-81
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in August?$-79

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.254
Sortino
0.305
HHI
140
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.138
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.3%
Top-5 markets
18.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
36.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.37
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2168s — normal for humanCV 1.37 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal60% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.56
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.2%
Mid (20-55c)12.5%
High (>55c)85.3%

Sessions

#12
7/22/2026, 6:26:33 AM28 trades$1,14311 min
5/26/2026, 3:04:13 PM41 trades$97419 min
4/29/2026, 7:47:08 AM18 trades$9025 min
6/27/2026, 7:10:26 AM9 trades$8451 min
7/29/2026, 2:05:47 PM1 trades$6590 min
7/24/2026, 4:17:33 PM15 trades$5992 min
6/18/2026, 12:48:58 PM10 trades$5771 min
7/20/2026, 8:38:58 AM15 trades$4771 min
5/14/2026, 3:35:10 PM2 trades$4480 min
7/22/2026, 7:44:34 AM7 trades$3920 min
7/29/2026, 4:06:24 PM4 trades$3893 min
7/20/2026, 2:02:52 PM1 trades$3750 min
7/22/2026, 6:54:42 AM8 trades$3721 min
7/26/2026, 10:06:46 AM10 trades$3545 min
6/11/2026, 5:31:31 PM9 trades$3534 min
8/27/2025, 5:48:09 PM1 trades$3480 min
7/24/2026, 7:09:40 PM3 trades$3475 min
6/15/2026, 10:06:40 AM5 trades$3411 min
6/18/2026, 7:08:08 PM4 trades$3381 min
7/11/2026, 10:28:17 AM2 trades$3210 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-13
09-30
12-19
02-13
04-28
06-13
07-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
6% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.56/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.2 / M12.5 / H85.3