@penzil

#2,503,11020

0x6dd9b8a32828e6ed49ceebfe389b7ec5f01f1024

~69d· 88 markets · 917 tradesVol: $192,4972026-08-04 23:12:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (35/81)6.6/20
0.83x (win $12,594 / loss $15,208)0.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.2890/15
Sortino -1.7210/10
$-0.0588 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 415 (81 markets)10/10
18/42 profitable days (43%)3.2/10
Max DD 378% of peak ($6,046 / $1,600)0/10

Badges

2
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
80% maker orders

Categories

9
🎭 CULTURE#14,503$186Vol: $112,026
🏛️ POLITICS#1,620,387$-1,242Vol: $40,382
💰 FINANCE#555,596$-6Vol: $13,708
💻 TECH#3,628$231Vol: $7,680
₿ CRYPTO#61,354$226Vol: $7,600
📈 ECONOMICS#4,652$511Vol: $6,730
⚽ SPORTS#238,109$18Vol: $3,751
🌤️ WEATHER#52,470$1Vol: $600
📢 MENTIONS#131,511$-11Vol: $20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-87
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$192,497
Total Redeem
$500
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
88
total markets
Trades
729B / 188S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~69d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $27
Month
$3
Vol: $711
All Time
$-87
Vol: $192,497

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
34W / 46L events
Realized PnL
$-87
Win Rate
43%
34W / 46L
Profit Factor
0.83x
Avg Win
$360
Avg Loss
$-346

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,097 (58.582002068727725% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$2,092
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1,608
Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?$1,398
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?$938
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?$719
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?$660
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 15?$605
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?$494
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39m?$425
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$400

Top Losers

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-3,014
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$-1,441
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?$-1,195
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?$-913
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?$-889
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?$-886
Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 39m?$-823
Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?$-692
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?$-686
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?$-554

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.067
Sortino
-0.083
HHI
538
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.051
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.2%
Top-5 markets
41.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.15
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.8

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 702s — normal for humanCV 2.14 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal80% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.44
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22.5%
Mid (20-55c)13.2%
High (>55c)64.3%

Sessions

#12
6/18/2026, 4:32:47 PM13 trades$2,8612 min
5/12/2026, 12:24:21 PM2 trades$2,1410 min
6/18/2026, 1:00:11 PM51 trades$1,63017 min
6/20/2026, 3:24:19 PM15 trades$1,4841 min
6/21/2026, 3:05:34 PM3 trades$1,4543 min
6/26/2026, 6:42:13 PM4 trades$1,1160 min
6/2/2026, 3:59:59 PM6 trades$1,0450 min
6/22/2026, 11:39:34 AM4 trades$1,0153 min
6/11/2026, 12:24:43 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/26/2026, 7:48:07 PM2 trades$9934 min
6/18/2026, 4:51:49 PM1 trades$9810 min
6/21/2026, 3:36:26 PM5 trades$8832 min
5/30/2026, 3:32:56 PM2 trades$8520 min
6/25/2026, 8:36:41 AM4 trades$7433 min
6/12/2026, 9:28:16 PM2 trades$7201 min
6/30/2026, 10:32:49 AM2 trades$6700 min
6/25/2026, 2:21:59 PM2 trades$6660 min
7/23/2026, 8:22:28 PM1 trades$6600 min
6/20/2026, 3:35:52 PM1 trades$6440 min
6/13/2026, 2:35:22 PM2 trades$6000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-07
05-27
06-06
06-14
06-24
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 11 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
20.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.44/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L22.5 / M13.2 / H64.3