tradingguru

@tradingguru

#2,651,90358

0x6e1af9b3b5314309e81ad20ad14e9b402744abda

~62d· 58 markets · 274 tradesVol: $68,5992026-08-04 23:42:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

58
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

41% (19/46)5.7/20
1.55x (win $939 / loss $607)9.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.68315/15
Sortino 5.30810/10
$+0.0561 per $1 invested2.8/10
HHI 1588 (46 markets)4.6/10
17/34 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 44% of peak ($161 / $369)5.3/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
55% entries < $0.55
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,582,228$-302Vol: $53,685
🎭 CULTURE#11,388$280Vol: $4,613
💰 FINANCE#13,866$163Vol: $3,992
⚽ SPORTS#1,766,998$-297Vol: $3,340
📈 ECONOMICS#629,635$-21Vol: $685
🌤️ WEATHER#135,574$0Vol: $5

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-149
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$68,599
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
58
total markets
Trades
173B / 101S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~62d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-149
Vol: $68,599

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
41%
19W / 27L events
Realized PnL
$-149
Win Rate
41%
19W / 27L
Profit Factor
1.55x
Avg Win
$49
Avg Loss
$-25

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $559 (3.743488449949783% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?$228
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? $198
Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?$133
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?$120
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$54
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-11-16?$38
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$30
Trump out as President before GTA VI?$22
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?$20
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$15

Top Losers

Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils$-112
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$-110
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?$-92
Will Trump and Putin not meet?$-55
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?$-40
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$-38
Eugenio Suárez: Home Runs O/U 0.5$-38
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$-34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?$-20
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$-18

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.138
Sortino
0.251
HHI
1544
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.059
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
30.5%
Top-5 markets
70.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
21.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.16
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1270s — normal for humanCV 2.16 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal66% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.33
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)25.4%
Mid (20-55c)30.1%
High (>55c)44.5%

Sessions

#12
12/12/2025, 6:09:58 AM4 trades$8265 min
12/19/2025, 6:16:41 AM4 trades$8127 min
2/12/2026, 5:51:35 PM2 trades$5391 min
12/5/2025, 11:58:55 PM1 trades$3090 min
2/21/2026, 10:42:04 PM3 trades$2702 min
6/30/2026, 11:22:02 PM2 trades$2650 min
12/12/2025, 4:30:28 PM1 trades$2450 min
6/15/2026, 3:42:36 PM4 trades$2350 min
11/7/2025, 10:20:19 PM1 trades$2300 min
5/16/2026, 8:23:51 PM7 trades$2192 min
2/12/2026, 5:35:13 PM3 trades$2031 min
11/24/2025, 8:24:01 PM1 trades$2000 min
12/19/2025, 6:08:11 AM2 trades$1843 min
2/12/2026, 6:16:31 PM1 trades$1800 min
2/12/2026, 6:24:35 PM1 trades$1780 min
12/3/2025, 10:51:59 PM1 trades$1640 min
2/8/2026, 10:05:29 PM3 trades$1356 min
11/25/2025, 12:57:41 PM8 trades$1356 min
2/17/2026, 1:46:27 AM5 trades$1257 min
6/4/2026, 10:09:16 AM4 trades$1180 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-03
11-14
12-12
02-16
03-19
05-25
06-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 72 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.33/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L25.4 / M30.1 / H44.5