@MichaelKondrat

#2,616,83514

0x6e35be3a5e78a35d4b156cd1e2bf08656155f4e1

~25d· 161 markets · 458 tradesVol: $81,8132026-08-05 00:40:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

21% (33/160)0/20
0.90x (win $733 / loss $811)1.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.4080/15
Sortino -1.8900/10
$-0.0709 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 190 (160 markets)10/10
10/25 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 145% of peak ($251 / $174)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
44% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

4
SPORTS#1,670,610$-96Vol: $81,140
CRYPTO#1,233,747$-17Vol: $475
🏛️ POLITICS#1,231,982$-8Vol: $102
🌤️ WEATHER#214,686$-3Vol: $63

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-126
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$81,813
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
161
total markets
Trades
216B / 242S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~25d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
21%
33W / 127L events
Realized PnL
$-126
Win Rate
21%
33W / 127L
Profit Factor
0.9x
Avg Win
$22
Avg Loss
$-8

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $202 (1.6062295865530152% of PnL)

Top Winners

Portugal vs. DR Congo: Draw at halftime?$80
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?$63
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$59
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$54
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?$51
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$44
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score in First Half$43
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$36
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$28
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score in First Half$23

Top Losers

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-100
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?$-44
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$-40
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-36
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?$-32
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?$-20
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?$-20
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance$-20
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)$-20
Türkiye to score first vs. United States?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.072
Sortino
-0.089
HHI
586
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.061
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19.9%
Top-5 markets
38%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
14.3
Active
Markets / Day
5.0
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.66
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.1

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 444s — normal for humanCV 1.66 — diverse sizes (human-like)35% night trades — never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clock14 trades/day — very active5.0 markets/day — normal47% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.34
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)43.5%
Mid (20-55c)36.1%
High (>55c)20.4%

Sessions

#12
6/18/2026, 1:05:43 AM10 trades$1882 min
7/6/2026, 11:29:17 PM4 trades$1423 min
6/19/2026, 7:58:01 PM5 trades$1300 min
6/15/2026, 11:03:00 PM4 trades$1270 min
6/17/2026, 7:56:55 PM16 trades$10911 min
7/8/2026, 5:53:43 PM2 trades$1000 min
7/9/2026, 11:00:34 AM2 trades$1000 min
6/18/2026, 9:01:49 PM4 trades$920 min
6/22/2026, 7:27:47 PM4 trades$864 min
6/17/2026, 5:57:14 PM2 trades$860 min
6/18/2026, 8:24:53 PM2 trades$830 min
6/17/2026, 1:54:05 AM13 trades$8210 min
6/25/2026, 12:27:44 PM25 trades$817 min
7/6/2026, 9:11:49 PM3 trades$810 min
7/1/2026, 3:23:13 PM2 trades$770 min
6/17/2026, 8:41:28 PM4 trades$700 min
6/16/2026, 10:56:59 PM2 trades$690 min
6/19/2026, 7:20:01 PM6 trades$656 min
7/14/2026, 7:30:38 PM5 trades$642 min
6/17/2026, 5:10:14 PM4 trades$641 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-13
06-17
06-21
06-25
06-29
07-07
07-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 29 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.34/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L43.5 / M36.1 / H20.4