@noytam
#2,518,211440x6e40371c2a378665172ae15362bccc2dcebe2e56
~15d· 87 markets · 477 tradesVol: $22,7732026-08-05 01:47:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
44
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
34% (29/86)1.9/20
1.05x (win $384 / loss $367)3.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.68412.8/15
Sortino 0.8638.6/10
$+0.0070 per $1 invested0.4/10
HHI 639 (86 markets)9.3/10
9/15 profitable days (60%)7.5/10
Max DD 294% of peak ($130 / $44)0/10
Badges
1Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Categories
1🌤️ WEATHER#284,033$-92Vol: $22,773
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-92
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$22,773
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
87
total markets
Trades
190B / 287S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~15d
Periods
#2Week
$32
Vol: $1,117
Month
$48
Vol: $2,341
All Time
$-92
Vol: $22,773
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
34%
29W / 57L events
Realized PnL
$-92
Win Rate
34%
29W / 57L
Profit Factor
1.05x
Avg Win
$13
Avg Loss
$-8
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $165 (1.796849538294405% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 21?$65
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 18?$51
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 26?$49
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 27?$30
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 18?$28
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 28?$23
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on July 21?$23
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on July 27?$17
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 27?$12
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 21?$11
Top Losers
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 21?$-112
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on July 19?$-84
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 18?$-36
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on July 27?$-20
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 27?$-18
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 27?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 27?$-9
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 26?$-6
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 18?$-3
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on June 19?$-3
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.035
Sortino
0.035
HHI
663
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.008
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16%
Top-5 markets
45.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
3.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
58.6m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.04
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.1
Bot Detection
#610
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 117s — normal for humanCV 2.04 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours19/24 hours — extended activity4 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 5:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.43
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)12.1%
Mid (20-55c)37.4%
High (>55c)50.5%
Sessions
#127/28/2026, 3:19:32 PM22 trades$6315 min
8/4/2026, 6:21:29 AM10 trades$3082 min
7/28/2026, 10:59:44 AM2 trades$2660 min
6/19/2026, 5:44:53 AM35 trades$25110 min
7/19/2026, 5:21:46 PM21 trades$1959 min
7/28/2026, 10:27:44 AM10 trades$1791 min
8/4/2026, 7:41:44 AM9 trades$1790 min
7/13/2026, 3:51:25 PM3 trades$1450 min
7/18/2026, 9:35:24 PM2 trades$1400 min
7/3/2026, 4:12:26 PM3 trades$1380 min
7/22/2026, 6:05:33 AM2 trades$1370 min
7/18/2026, 5:05:28 PM8 trades$1150 min
8/4/2026, 6:37:50 AM6 trades$1140 min
7/21/2026, 7:36:00 AM6 trades$910 min
7/18/2026, 1:37:06 PM11 trades$880 min
7/27/2026, 2:50:09 AM11 trades$831 min
7/18/2026, 6:11:45 PM15 trades$836 min
7/27/2026, 6:07:45 AM4 trades$810 min
7/18/2026, 7:32:36 PM17 trades$808 min
7/19/2026, 7:01:46 PM5 trades$750 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-04
06-19
06-21
07-13
07-19
07-22
07-27
08-04
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 3 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
WEATHER
98% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.43/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.1 / M37.4 / H50.5