@xfm-1-8

#2,676,6181

0x6e90f3b74b1f069573762adab61139ad886a006d

~11d· 11 markets · 23 tradesVol: $3,7642026-08-04 19:09:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

1
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

29% (2/7)0/20
0.09x (win $44 / loss $505)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.3357 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2227 (7 markets)1.4/10
1/6 profitable days (17%)0/10
Max DD 8417% of peak ($467 / $6)0/10

Categories

4
💰 FINANCE#642,373$-203Vol: $2,074
🎭 CULTURE#112,663$3Vol: $840
🏛️ POLITICS#112,323$31Vol: $740
📈 ECONOMICS#341,638$-0Vol: $110

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-170
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,764
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
11
total markets
Trades
14B / 9S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~11d

Periods

#2
Today
$-4
Vol: $0
Week
$-5
Vol: $0
Month
$2
Vol: $0
All Time
$-170
Vol: $3,764

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
29%
2W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$-170
Win Rate
29%
2W / 5L
Profit Factor
0.09x
Avg Win
$22
Avg Loss
$-101

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $44 (0.256561139225609% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Trump talk to Kevin Warsh in February?$38
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$6

Top Losers

Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$-353
Will "Siri" be said 5+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?$-133
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-14
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy$-5
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.549
Sortino
-0.513
HHI
602
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.599
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.2%
Top-5 markets
51.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
8/24
Normal
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.4m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.47
Moderate
Session Statistics
Sessions
13
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.8

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 90s — normal for humanCV 0.48 — uniform order sizes22% night trades — unusual hours8/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal52% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.29
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.1%
Mid (20-55c)35.7%
High (>55c)57.1%

Sessions

#12
5/2/2026, 2:30:18 AM4 trades$5602 min
7/4/2026, 10:30:44 AM3 trades$4383 min
4/3/2026, 11:27:51 AM2 trades$2800 min
2/24/2026, 2:44:44 PM2 trades$2681 min
2/14/2026, 9:54:15 AM2 trades$2052 min
2/9/2026, 2:42:37 PM2 trades$2002 min
2/18/2026, 6:01:36 AM2 trades$1942 min
6/21/2026, 9:38:20 AM1 trades$1270 min
2/2/2026, 2:31:58 PM1 trades$950 min
1/31/2026, 7:12:44 AM1 trades$550 min
2/2/2026, 2:20:50 PM1 trades$550 min
6/21/2026, 9:32:35 AM1 trades$340 min
3/13/2026, 1:54:45 AM1 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-02
02-09
02-18
02-24
03-13
05-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 82 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.29/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.1 / M35.7 / H57.1