@HONESTHIPPO

#1,738,60117

0x6ea74119a27ce522559f42743a8753343435d0d3

~65d· 115 markets · 398 tradesVol: $16,6452026-08-05 03:41:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

37% (37/99)3.7/20
0.81x (win $986 / loss $1,221)0.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.6430/15
Sortino -2.5110/10
$-0.0432 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 372 (99 markets)10/10
19/44 profitable days (43%)3.3/10
Max DD 186% of peak ($508 / $273)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
57% entries < $0.55

Categories

6
🎭 CULTURE#40,577$29Vol: $8,192
CRYPTO#1,102,418$-8Vol: $3,298
🏛️ POLITICS#1,426,809$-32Vol: $2,252
SPORTS#1,659,124$-87Vol: $1,589
💰 FINANCE#21,088$76Vol: $660
💻 TECH#14,063$17Vol: $246

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-8
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$16,645
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
115
total markets
Trades
186B / 212S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~65d

Periods

#2
Today
$-6
Vol: $0
Week
$-5
Vol: $0
Month
$-4
Vol: $0
All Time
$-8
Vol: $16,645

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
37%
37W / 62L events
Realized PnL
$-8
Win Rate
37%
37W / 62L
Profit Factor
0.81x
Avg Win
$27
Avg Loss
$-23

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $391 (51.41710526315789% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$279
Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?$59
Will Tunisia finish last in Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$53
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$49
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in June?$42
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 55m?$38
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $680 in June?$38
Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?$37
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$35
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $450 end of January?$32

Top Losers

Will "My Secret Santa" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (December 9, 2025)$-138
Will Cape Verde be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?$-100
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-95
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?$-58
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-50
Will Cape Verde finish last in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$-44
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?$-43
Will "Jay Kelly" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (December 9, 2025)$-41
Will Sweden finish last in Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$-40
Will DR Congo finish last in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$-40

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.085
Sortino
-0.137
HHI
293
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.049
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.8%
Top-5 markets
30.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6h
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.80
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 312s — normal for humanCV 1.80 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps21/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.57
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)27.4%
Mid (20-55c)29.6%
High (>55c)43%

Sessions

#12
1/3/2026, 1:49:49 PM3 trades$5005 min
5/1/2026, 8:38:46 AM15 trades$4467 min
1/7/2026, 12:51:19 PM2 trades$4380 min
7/19/2026, 3:07:01 AM16 trades$4349 min
5/25/2026, 1:14:21 PM22 trades$4308 min
12/23/2025, 2:17:25 PM1 trades$3800 min
12/23/2025, 2:11:11 PM1 trades$3790 min
12/10/2025, 2:11:16 PM2 trades$3341 min
12/6/2025, 3:06:15 AM1 trades$2630 min
12/30/2025, 2:00:37 PM1 trades$2500 min
2/1/2026, 4:13:28 AM5 trades$25011 min
11/23/2025, 7:14:35 AM1 trades$2280 min
5/8/2026, 4:20:34 PM19 trades$2247 min
11/17/2025, 5:02:41 AM1 trades$2140 min
11/8/2025, 6:15:33 AM1 trades$2000 min
7/23/2026, 12:24:03 PM3 trades$1790 min
7/20/2026, 1:04:33 PM4 trades$1760 min
6/13/2026, 11:25:07 AM8 trades$1701 min
11/12/2025, 7:35:46 AM1 trades$1630 min
6/4/2026, 3:44:09 PM13 trades$1403 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-12
01-11
02-06
03-16
05-13
06-14
06-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 156 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.57/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L27.4 / M29.6 / H43