@Frog-Prince

#23,59841

0x6fb10c9908b68c82f5889f641fdc05ca59ee9319

~211d· 822 markets · 8275 tradesVol: $683,3652026-08-04 18:58:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

41
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

22% (180/822)0/20
1.07x (win $14,469 / loss $13,518)3.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.77714.6/15
Sortino 1.44410/10
$+0.0261 per $1 invested1.3/10
HHI 53 (822 markets)10/10
69/182 profitable days (38%)2/10
Max DD 79% of peak ($1,169 / $1,485)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+5,452
Lottery Player
75% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
🎭 CULTURE#3,296$1,840Vol: $344,771
🌤️ WEATHER#534$3,814Vol: $317,231
SPORTS#1,732,825$-185Vol: $20,582
CRYPTO#839,833$-1Vol: $441
💻 TECH#233,109$-16Vol: $341

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$5,452
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$683,365
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
822
total markets
Trades
5498B / 2777S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~211d

Periods

#2
Today
$-25
Vol: $5,746
Week
$217
Vol: $18,379
Month
$-220
Vol: $26,319
All Time
$5,452
Vol: $683,365

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
22%
180W / 642L events
Realized PnL
$5,452
Win Rate
22%
180W / 642L
Profit Factor
1.07x
Avg Win
$80
Avg Loss
$-22

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,248 (0.41235821924843363% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 11?$1,110
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?$633
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$505
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?$444
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?$439
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$359
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 7?$356
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 7?$310
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$310
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$302

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$-305
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 11?$-263
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 9?$-180
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$-156
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 3?$-154
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 10?$-148
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 18?$-146
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 13?$-133
Exact Score: Ghana 0 - 0 Panama?$-128
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$-122

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.041
Sortino
0.076
HHI
74
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.026
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.4%
Top-5 markets
12.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
34.5
Active
Markets / Day
3.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
53.2m
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.05
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.9

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 296s — normal for humanCV 3.05 — diverse sizes (human-like)35% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock34 trades/day — high frequency3.4 markets/day — normal62% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.09
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)75.2%
Mid (20-55c)11.5%
High (>55c)13.3%

Sessions

#12
6/18/2026, 4:38:53 PM5 trades$1,4141 min
4/1/2026, 3:35:35 PM29 trades$1,02515 min
6/26/2026, 12:57:53 AM3 trades$1,0011 min
4/3/2026, 9:29:03 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/18/2026, 3:22:01 PM6 trades$9142 min
6/8/2026, 12:28:54 PM16 trades$9094 min
4/29/2026, 6:04:44 AM10 trades$7410 min
6/19/2026, 5:20:58 AM19 trades$71712 min
6/7/2026, 12:01:54 PM39 trades$61413 min
7/7/2026, 11:38:01 PM27 trades$59710 min
4/3/2026, 1:05:49 PM5 trades$5570 min
4/29/2026, 2:39:10 PM13 trades$5543 min
6/11/2026, 12:10:46 AM73 trades$54624 min
4/22/2026, 7:02:02 AM21 trades$5384 min
6/13/2026, 11:04:33 PM5 trades$5233 min
6/18/2026, 11:50:40 AM8 trades$5103 min
4/28/2026, 3:47:44 PM2 trades$5000 min
5/7/2026, 6:28:34 AM2 trades$5000 min
1/10/2026, 5:58:58 AM1 trades$4400 min
4/10/2026, 8:15:13 AM7 trades$4300 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-04
01-19
02-21
03-24
05-07
06-12
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 41 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
56% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.09/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L75.2 / M11.5 / H13.3