notalkletsplay

@notalkletsplay

#2,837,03651

0x6fb868e4bc34c8be25d8b6dad58f395bdb0d48f6

~32d· 34 markets · 254 tradesVol: $10,9002026-08-04 23:36:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

51
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (8/20)5/20
1.27x (win $746 / loss $586)5.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.63315/15
Sortino 4.06610/10
$+0.0797 per $1 invested4/10
HHI 987 (20 markets)7.6/10
5/11 profitable days (45%)3.9/10
Max DD 76% of peak ($365 / $483)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
37% entries < $0.20

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,590,819$-392Vol: $7,936
CRYPTO#1,312,039$-28Vol: $910
📈 ECONOMICS#564,465$-5Vol: $665
🎭 CULTURE#669,321$-7Vol: $563
🌤️ WEATHER#22,106$11Vol: $546
💰 FINANCE#44,035$17Vol: $108
📢 MENTIONS#154,014$-41Vol: $103

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-457
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,900
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
34
total markets
Trades
125B / 129S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~32d

Periods

#2
Today
$7
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $62
Month
$27
Vol: $328
All Time
$-457
Vol: $10,900

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
8W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$-457
Win Rate
40%
8W / 12L
Profit Factor
1.27x
Avg Win
$93
Avg Loss
$-73

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $663 (1.451017282870269% of PnL)

Top Winners

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$445
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$180
Another critical Cloudflare incident by July 31, 2026?$38
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$29
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$21
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by July 31?$18
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$6

Top Losers

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$-165
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-115
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-107
Will one person dissent the June Fed decision?$-54
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?$-50
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$-46
Iran coup attempt by June 30?$-35
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?$-14

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.082
Sortino
0.244
HHI
450
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.122
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.1%
Top-5 markets
37.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
14.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.2h
between trades
Night Trading
63%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.07
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 846s — normal for humanCV 1.07 — diverse sizes (human-like)63% night trades — never sleeps19/24 hours — extended activity4 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.5
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)36.8%
Mid (20-55c)24.8%
High (>55c)38.4%

Sessions

#12
6/7/2026, 12:17:03 AM11 trades$6429 min
6/7/2026, 12:31:04 AM7 trades$5622 min
7/21/2026, 11:02:42 PM2 trades$2200 min
7/29/2026, 1:11:38 AM2 trades$2200 min
6/7/2026, 12:39:33 AM7 trades$2114 min
7/27/2026, 1:11:45 AM4 trades$2051 min
6/21/2026, 1:44:02 AM9 trades$1404 min
7/3/2026, 5:29:22 PM5 trades$1390 min
8/1/2026, 3:46:29 PM2 trades$1390 min
6/15/2026, 1:20:28 AM6 trades$1250 min
6/30/2026, 5:47:55 PM2 trades$1190 min
7/4/2026, 1:37:34 AM5 trades$1100 min
7/29/2026, 1:22:29 AM2 trades$1080 min
6/20/2026, 7:52:23 PM11 trades$1025 min
6/14/2026, 1:26:15 AM2 trades$1010 min
6/23/2026, 2:34:26 AM2 trades$1000 min
6/28/2026, 12:50:46 AM2 trades$1000 min
7/2/2026, 12:19:08 AM5 trades$1002 min
7/30/2026, 3:58:02 AM5 trades$1000 min
6/14/2026, 1:10:40 AM4 trades$991 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-07
06-14
06-15
06-17
06-18
06-21
06-22
06-30
07-02
07-04
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 7 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.5/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L36.8 / M24.8 / H38.4