@themilkmanvelvet

#3,047,94025

0x7032d8b832c135e522e6ddd8d10407d86da26a92

~51d· 49 markets · 303 tradesVol: $212,0612026-08-05 17:23:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

25
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

45% (20/44)7.7/20
0.52x (win $5,589 / loss $10,814)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.4250/15
Sortino -3.5840/10
$-0.1491 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 672 (44 markets)9.1/10
15/24 profitable days (62%)8.1/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($5,476 / $0)0/10

Badges

5
Contrarian
81% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 5.7 entries/market
Consistent
15/24 profitable days
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

4
CRYPTO#1,670,948$-6,399Vol: $200,731
🏛️ POLITICS#21,288$763Vol: $8,785
💰 FINANCE#554,216$-6Vol: $2,436
SPORTS#1,342,909$-10Vol: $108

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-5,652
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$212,061
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
49
total markets
Trades
148B / 155S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~51d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-2
Vol: $0
All Time
$-5,652
Vol: $212,061

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
45%
20W / 24L events
Realized PnL
$-5,652
Win Rate
45%
20W / 24L
Profit Factor
0.52x
Avg Win
$279
Avg Loss
$-451

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,687 (0.4754389876212922% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 3?$1,251
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?$808
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026?$628
Will Hyperliquid dip to $30 in November?$593
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 3?$515
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$345
Will Hyperliquid reach $50 by December 31, 2026?$256
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on December 3?$223
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on December 11?$222
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 2?$145

Top Losers

Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?$-3,647
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$-2,707
Will Solana reach $160 in January?$-1,325
Will Solana reach $150 in January?$-852
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?$-533
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$-349
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 20?$-246
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on December 11?$-177
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$-158
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on December 4?$-142

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.175
Sortino
-0.136
HHI
686
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.160
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.3%
Top-5 markets
52.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
16.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.42
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 972s — normal for humanCV 1.42 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal31% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.68
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)29.1%
Mid (20-55c)52%
High (>55c)18.9%

Sessions

#12
11/4/2025, 11:57:25 AM3 trades$2,9111 min
1/12/2026, 1:24:04 PM1 trades$2,8580 min
1/4/2026, 10:09:53 PM2 trades$2,6321 min
1/2/2026, 9:54:43 PM2 trades$2,5010 min
11/10/2025, 11:52:14 AM1 trades$2,2640 min
12/22/2025, 1:39:23 PM3 trades$2,1742 min
11/30/2025, 10:54:54 AM1 trades$2,1300 min
11/29/2025, 9:27:09 PM1 trades$2,0000 min
5/6/2026, 10:35:54 AM24 trades$1,7151 min
10/29/2025, 10:14:31 PM2 trades$1,6350 min
5/13/2026, 9:53:54 PM17 trades$1,5542 min
4/12/2026, 2:29:29 AM15 trades$1,5001 min
12/26/2025, 8:26:33 PM4 trades$1,4406 min
1/12/2026, 2:53:22 PM1 trades$1,4000 min
12/1/2025, 4:28:46 PM1 trades$1,2600 min
11/21/2025, 5:41:11 PM1 trades$1,2370 min
12/29/2025, 10:46:35 PM2 trades$1,0961 min
11/21/2025, 5:30:13 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
12/23/2025, 1:13:57 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
12/23/2025, 6:39:19 PM1 trades$1,0000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-04
11-22
12-01
12-05
12-25
01-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.68/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L29.1 / M52 / H18.9