@notsatoshi1

#46,96360

0x7084b959d318a60c55a5e6e351d0791666aa4bd6

~10d· 8 markets · 130 tradesVol: $73,0352026-08-05 17:30:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

60
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (4/8)10/20
1.85x (win $5,109 / loss $2,769)13.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.51115/15
Sortino 8.24110/10
$+0.1249 per $1 invested6.2/10
HHI 2278 (8 markets)1.1/10
3/7 profitable days (43%)3.2/10
Max DD 65% of peak ($2,000 / $3,088)1/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+2,292
Lottery Player
69% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 16.2 entries/market

Categories

2
💰 FINANCE#1,779$2,852Vol: $64,406
💻 TECH#256,693$-560Vol: $8,630

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,292
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$73,035
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
8
total markets
Trades
26B / 104S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d

Periods

#2
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$2,292
Vol: $73,035

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
4W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$2,292
Win Rate
50%
4W / 4L
Profit Factor
1.85x
Avg Win
$1,277
Avg Loss
$-692

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,088 (2.21987269816202% of PnL)

Top Winners

Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?$2,509
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?$1,992
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?$588
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?$20

Top Losers

Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?$-2,000
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?$-318
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 24, 2026?$-306
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$-145

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.219
Sortino
0.381
HHI
3123
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.125
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
44%
Top-5 markets
98.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
7/24
Normal
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.43
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
10
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.0

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 66s — normal for humanCV 2.43 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern7/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal6% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
16.25
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)69.2%
Mid (20-55c)7.7%
High (>55c)23.1%

Sessions

#12
4/3/2026, 8:43:19 AM39 trades$12,1860 min
11/2/2025, 3:18:07 PM2 trades$11,2451 min
11/16/2025, 12:07:22 PM1 trades$10,2360 min
5/20/2026, 4:03:09 PM29 trades$5,4220 min
11/3/2025, 7:34:53 PM2 trades$5,1521 min
5/14/2026, 1:55:09 PM24 trades$4,4583 min
11/8/2025, 8:57:33 AM1 trades$3,5880 min
5/19/2026, 3:29:30 PM11 trades$1,3140 min
7/8/2026, 8:36:25 PM8 trades$8340 min
7/15/2026, 8:01:10 PM13 trades$2001 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-08
11-16
04-03
05-14
05-19
05-20
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 138 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
80% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.25/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L69.2 / M7.7 / H23.1