@Geckowolf

#35,84461

0x70e26237d6fef16527a1eee7399de142fe0d5c64

~22d· 42 markets · 311 tradesVol: $115,2112026-08-04 21:50:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

61
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

34% (12/35)2.1/20
2.06x (win $30,102 / loss $14,639)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.74615/15
Sortino 10.54510/10
$+1.8258 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1732 (35 markets)3.8/10
5/18 profitable days (28%)0/10
Max DD 47% of peak ($12,341 / $26,086)4.5/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+3,228
Lottery Player
79% entries < $0.20

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#8,122$3,440Vol: $94,296
SPORTS#1,688,995$-107Vol: $18,952
💰 FINANCE#622,243$-59Vol: $1,307
📈 ECONOMICS#645,951$-45Vol: $656

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,228
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$115,211
Total Redeem
$778
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
42
total markets
Trades
112B / 199S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~22d

Periods

#2
Today
$-8
Vol: $0
Week
$-4
Vol: $0
Month
$-47
Vol: $0
All Time
$3,228
Vol: $115,211

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
34%
12W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$3,228
Win Rate
34%
12W / 23L
Profit Factor
2.06x
Avg Win
$2,509
Avg Loss
$-665

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $24,660 (7.638370234540521% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$17,720
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$5,340
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$1,600
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$1,580
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$1,486
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$1,065
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score$501
Will France win on 2026-07-09?$341
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$169
Netherlands to score first vs. Japan?$123

Top Losers

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$-5,718
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$-2,689
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$-1,200
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$-800
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$-800
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-596
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?$-400
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?$-400
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$-400
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by April 30, 2026?$-300

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.140
Sortino
0.546
HHI
2974
Concentrated
EV per $1
$1.211
Kelly %
24.1%
Half-Kelly
12.1%
Top-1 market
46.1%
Top-5 markets
93.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.27
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
49
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 527s — normal for humanCV 1.27 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps17/24 hours — normal schedule3 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal22% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.11
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)78.6%
Mid (20-55c)10.7%
High (>55c)10.7%

Sessions

#12
4/19/2026, 4:13:06 AM46 trades$24,0816 min
4/7/2026, 10:53:57 PM4 trades$9,0000 min
4/4/2026, 9:43:21 PM6 trades$7,0001 min
5/1/2026, 4:10:42 AM6 trades$6,4480 min
4/10/2026, 7:52:21 PM12 trades$4,2811 min
4/24/2026, 2:20:46 AM4 trades$4,2291 min
4/22/2026, 8:38:58 AM13 trades$3,6130 min
4/7/2026, 11:14:57 PM5 trades$3,2501 min
4/10/2026, 8:00:25 PM9 trades$2,9170 min
4/8/2026, 6:10:11 AM11 trades$2,4712 min
4/22/2026, 5:02:38 AM6 trades$2,2270 min
7/16/2026, 12:47:58 PM4 trades$2,1830 min
4/17/2026, 7:17:34 PM4 trades$1,8180 min
7/23/2026, 3:24:25 PM26 trades$1,63110 min
4/8/2026, 6:31:03 PM11 trades$1,4770 min
4/11/2026, 2:34:51 PM23 trades$1,4130 min
6/12/2026, 8:42:49 PM4 trades$1,2721 min
4/4/2026, 9:50:37 PM6 trades$1,0731 min
7/5/2026, 6:22:32 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/13/2026, 10:07:27 PM6 trades$9520 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-04
04-11
04-22
06-12
06-15
07-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 71 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
64% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.11/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L78.6 / M10.7 / H10.7