@vale.glez

#2,455,57913

0x70fcf41f592c6f1ee8fc0fd45e9bf609fcc288c1

~68d· 436 markets · 2171 tradesVol: $19,4762026-08-04 22:40:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

13
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (98/300)1.3/20
0.75x (win $551 / loss $736)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.9530/15
Sortino -3.6040/10
$-0.0989 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 171 (300 markets)10/10
22/59 profitable days (37%)1.8/10
Max DD 1185% of peak ($202 / $17)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
55% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

7
📈 ECONOMICS#653,827$-69Vol: $10,176
🏛️ POLITICS#131,343$21Vol: $8,222
⚽ SPORTS#401,734$2Vol: $377
₿ CRYPTO#1,299,215$-25Vol: $301
💰 FINANCE#377,149$-0Vol: $284
📢 MENTIONS#27,187$4Vol: $20
🌤️ WEATHER#181,539$-1Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-71
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$19,476
Total Redeem
$51
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
436
total markets
Trades
1078B / 1093S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~68d

Periods

#2
Today
$4
Vol: $13
Week
$0
Vol: $1,172
Month
$-5
Vol: $1,172
All Time
$-71
Vol: $19,476

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
98W / 201L events
Realized PnL
$-71
Win Rate
33%
98W / 201L
Profit Factor
0.75x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $146 (2.042121466554716% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$80
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$44
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?$22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$21
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$21
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$19
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?$17
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$13

Top Losers

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-70
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$-44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-43
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-42
Will Trump visit China by May 15?$-31
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?$-20
Will Trump visit China by May 31?$-18
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$-17
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?$-15
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?$-14

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.153
Sortino
-0.172
HHI
202
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.098
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.8%
Top-5 markets
22.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
20.1
Active
Markets / Day
4.0
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.27
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.3

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 163s — normal for humanCV 1.28 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps18/24 hours — extended activity20 trades/day — high frequency4.0 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.46
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)27.4%
Mid (20-55c)27.2%
High (>55c)45.5%

Sessions

#12
4/23/2026, 10:56:58 PM75 trades$23643 min
4/19/2026, 5:51:50 PM23 trades$18912 min
5/2/2026, 3:35:48 AM57 trades$14048 min
6/1/2026, 8:04:23 PM7 trades$1153 min
4/23/2026, 9:59:44 PM35 trades$9621 min
4/25/2026, 2:44:26 AM7 trades$953 min
6/25/2026, 3:55:05 PM6 trades$952 min
4/26/2026, 4:10:06 AM29 trades$8919 min
5/7/2026, 3:07:15 AM4 trades$870 min
4/26/2026, 7:10:56 PM16 trades$869 min
6/9/2026, 3:51:40 PM11 trades$852 min
6/13/2026, 6:58:25 PM13 trades$781 min
5/2/2026, 2:38:10 AM4 trades$760 min
5/7/2026, 12:05:31 AM2 trades$710 min
5/9/2026, 9:26:11 PM8 trades$695 min
4/27/2026, 11:30:28 PM31 trades$6622 min
5/5/2026, 6:27:10 PM22 trades$6511 min
4/19/2026, 4:26:02 PM44 trades$6526 min
7/5/2026, 3:27:52 AM18 trades$646 min
5/7/2026, 8:45:51 PM2 trades$590 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-19
04-28
05-08
05-18
06-03
06-12
07-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 71 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.46/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L27.4 / M27.2 / H45.5