Vespuccii

@Vespuccii

#3,000,15034

0x712ff6df3887ef407655e2f7711bc1d03e859fe6

~168d· 192 markets · 1497 tradesVol: $782,071 @VespucciPM2026-08-04 19:11:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

34
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (105/176)14.8/20
0.98x (win $45,905 / loss $46,637)2.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.0680/15
Sortino -0.0880/10
$-0.0025 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 191 (176 markets)10/10
55/98 profitable days (56%)6.5/10
Max DD 470% of peak ($19,726 / $4,201)0/10

Badges

4
DCA Master
Avg 7.5 entries/market
Whale
$291,745 invested
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🎭 CULTURE#827$10,051Vol: $477,214
🏛️ POLITICS#1,637,531$-9,456Vol: $187,724
🌤️ WEATHER#299,158$-5,244Vol: $53,873
📈 ECONOMICS#1,740$2,417Vol: $29,732
💰 FINANCE#647,047$-343Vol: $21,430
💻 TECH#19,915$8Vol: $8,023
SPORTS#60,135$443Vol: $1,454
📢 MENTIONS#10,804$36Vol: $1,394

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,112
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$782,071
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
192
total markets
Trades
1083B / 414S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~168d

Periods

#2
Today
$653
Vol: $46,904
Week
$-1,196
Vol: $89,984
Month
$-2,629
Vol: $109,048
All Time
$-2,112
Vol: $782,071

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
105W / 70L events
Realized PnL
$-2,112
Win Rate
60%
105W / 70L
Profit Factor
0.98x
Avg Win
$437
Avg Loss
$-666

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $17,874 (8.464017653772025% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?$10,035
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$4,901
Will 'Mufasa: The Lion King' gross less than $52m on 3-day opening weekend?$2,938
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross less than $140m opening weekend?$2,485
Will 'Sonic 3' gross between $56-64m on 3-day opening weekend?$2,378
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross between $140-150m opening weekend?$1,658
Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $35-40m?$1,554
Will 'Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning' gross between $60-65m opening weekend?$1,385
Will 'Thunderbolts' gross more than $82m on opening weekend?$1,002
Will 'The Monkey' gross between 12-15m on its opening weekend?$1,001

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-13,342
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$-4,440
Will the December 2024 temperature increase be between 1.20-1.24°C?$-4,242
Will 'Snow White' gross between 44-49m on opening weekend?$-3,298
Will the November 2024 temperature increase be between 1.25-1.29°C?$-2,273
Will 'Last Breath' between 3-6m on its opening weekend?$-1,898
Will 'Sonic 3' gross between $64-72m on 3-day opening weekend?$-1,522
Will 'Last Breath' between 6-9m on its opening weekend?$-1,491
Will "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $73-82m?$-1,418
Will 'The Monkey' gross more than 15m on its opening weekend?$-1,350

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.004
Sortino
-0.003
HHI
148
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.4%
Top-5 markets
19.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.59
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 561s — normal for humanCV 2.59 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal62% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.49
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21.1%
Mid (20-55c)28.3%
High (>55c)50.5%

Sessions

#12
8/4/2026, 4:39:09 PM2 trades$16,0000 min
12/26/2024, 2:55:06 PM10 trades$11,76614 min
7/8/2026, 4:00:43 PM3 trades$9,7620 min
12/31/2024, 4:15:34 AM1 trades$8,0150 min
7/8/2026, 11:50:59 AM5 trades$6,6446 min
1/4/2025, 7:59:45 AM6 trades$6,5887 min
8/4/2026, 1:22:51 PM6 trades$5,8934 min
1/3/2025, 5:21:07 PM1 trades$5,8710 min
7/30/2026, 7:28:00 PM2 trades$5,2810 min
8/1/2026, 2:58:38 PM2 trades$5,2810 min
1/13/2025, 5:10:23 PM2 trades$4,7670 min
1/5/2025, 8:31:51 PM10 trades$4,6836 min
1/10/2025, 4:17:08 PM4 trades$4,6411 min
12/21/2024, 4:15:24 PM5 trades$4,5135 min
7/8/2026, 11:32:55 AM6 trades$4,48413 min
7/11/2026, 10:15:55 PM3 trades$4,4400 min
8/3/2026, 6:06:02 PM1 trades$4,3000 min
12/22/2024, 8:34:58 AM4 trades$4,0242 min
12/19/2024, 4:23:58 PM3 trades$3,9882 min
7/8/2026, 1:33:44 PM4 trades$3,9377 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-21
11-16
12-21
02-03
03-14
05-16
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 513 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.49/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.1 / M28.3 / H50.5