@Ogilvie

#369,62414

0x7145749a7d33ea4b6476ac8076f15578e1cb1d17

~5d· 10 markets · 43 tradesVol: $14,6652026-08-05 16:36:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (3/6)10/20
0.15x (win $263 / loss $1,765)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.2942 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1777 (6 markets)3.6/10
1/4 profitable days (25%)0/10
Max DD 1328% of peak ($1,624 / $122)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+31
Lottery Player
31% entries < $0.20

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#215,756$5Vol: $14,274
⚽ SPORTS#211,904$26Vol: $391

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$31
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$14,665
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
10
total markets
Trades
26B / 17S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~5d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
3W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$31
Win Rate
50%
3W / 3L
Profit Factor
0.15x
Avg Win
$88
Avg Loss
$-588

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $263 (8.548828125% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Egypt sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?$140
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?$71
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$52

Top Losers

Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31?$-1,346
Will Russia enter Serhiivka by July 31?$-278
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?$-141

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.650
Sortino
-0.648
HHI
886
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.476
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.8%
Top-5 markets
60%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
45.0m
between trades
Night Trading
63%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.99
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
17
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 447s — normal for humanCV 0.99 — diverse sizes (human-like)63% night trades — never sleeps9/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal60% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.33
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)30.8%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)69.2%

Sessions

#12
6/28/2026, 4:55:19 AM6 trades$1,0062 min
6/25/2026, 9:13:10 AM6 trades$1,0053 min
6/28/2026, 6:22:44 AM4 trades$9570 min
6/25/2026, 10:38:37 AM3 trades$9410 min
6/19/2026, 2:32:44 AM2 trades$5010 min
6/19/2026, 3:42:08 AM2 trades$4930 min
6/30/2026, 3:06:52 AM2 trades$4800 min
6/30/2026, 4:47:41 AM2 trades$4680 min
6/19/2026, 3:34:59 AM1 trades$4510 min
6/19/2026, 6:24:58 AM1 trades$4490 min
6/30/2026, 5:58:10 AM1 trades$4370 min
6/30/2026, 4:40:10 AM1 trades$4370 min
6/12/2026, 4:16:12 AM5 trades$4091 min
6/12/2026, 2:50:27 AM2 trades$3800 min
6/12/2026, 4:08:45 AM1 trades$3560 min
6/25/2026, 7:33:38 AM2 trades$872 min
6/28/2026, 1:53:26 AM2 trades$490 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-12
06-19
06-25
06-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 16 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.33/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L30.8 / M0 / H69.2