@2-Night
#309,70690x715581ca5dfef09c33ef05ee5cd20d844e41eaf8
~31d· 81 markets · 455 tradesVol: $15,7782026-08-04 23:35:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
19% (15/81)0/20
0.41x (win $135 / loss $328)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.7650/15
Sortino -5.9170/10
$-0.1748 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 662 (81 markets)9.2/10
4/25 profitable days (16%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($209 / $0)0/10
Badges
2Profitable
PnL $+52
Lottery Player
76% entries < $0.20
Categories
8🎭 CULTURE#15,520$165Vol: $9,718
🏛️ POLITICS#1,489,696$-66Vol: $2,950
⚽ SPORTS#1,185,287$-4Vol: $1,431
₿ CRYPTO#847,903$-1Vol: $931
📢 MENTIONS#148,448$-27Vol: $422
💰 FINANCE#561,623$-8Vol: $250
📈 ECONOMICS#559,632$-4Vol: $39
🌤️ WEATHER#208,921$-2Vol: $36
Overview
#1Net PnL
$52
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,778
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
81
total markets
Trades
251B / 204S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~31d
Periods
#2Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-95
Vol: $1,242
Month
$-95
Vol: $1,242
All Time
$52
Vol: $15,778
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
19%
15W / 66L events
Realized PnL
$52
Win Rate
19%
15W / 66L
Profit Factor
0.41x
Avg Win
$9
Avg Loss
$-6
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $69 (1.3100553329517268% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will 2–3 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?$28
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$21
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$20
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$18
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?$18
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$11
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$10
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$6
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?$4
Top Losers
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$-96
Will MrBeast's video get between 83 and 84 million views on day 6?$-22
Will MrBeast's video get between 84 and 85 million views on day 6?$-18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-16
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$-13
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?$-12
Will the Rolex Index hit $12,550 (HIGH) by April 30?$-11
Will Russia enter Dovha Balka by April 30?$-10
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$-10
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$-10
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.296
Sortino
-0.286
HHI
834
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.171
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
24.2%
Top-5 markets
46.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
4.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
46s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.52
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.2
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 46s — normal for humanCV 2.52 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule4 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 9:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.73
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)76.1%
Mid (20-55c)8.8%
High (>55c)15.1%
Sessions
#128/2/2026, 11:59:57 PM8 trades$9681 min
5/19/2026, 9:32:43 PM17 trades$8941 min
5/14/2026, 9:38:31 AM27 trades$2542 min
4/21/2026, 4:46:08 PM5 trades$2174 min
4/17/2026, 9:44:02 AM12 trades$1780 min
8/3/2026, 6:49:50 PM9 trades$1733 min
4/23/2026, 8:26:04 PM10 trades$1570 min
4/24/2026, 9:33:56 PM16 trades$1441 min
4/23/2026, 8:04:06 PM5 trades$1190 min
4/20/2026, 9:21:28 AM22 trades$10812 min
4/24/2026, 11:30:10 AM11 trades$864 min
4/25/2026, 12:28:18 AM14 trades$841 min
4/13/2026, 6:53:47 PM5 trades$740 min
4/12/2026, 5:16:59 PM20 trades$731 min
4/24/2026, 3:03:42 PM4 trades$730 min
4/21/2026, 10:52:16 PM13 trades$675 min
5/18/2026, 8:45:35 PM9 trades$652 min
4/14/2026, 8:34:40 PM4 trades$640 min
5/26/2026, 7:57:27 PM9 trades$641 min
4/24/2026, 3:34:06 PM3 trades$570 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-12
04-19
04-25
05-18
05-26
07-07
08-03
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.73/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L76.1 / M8.8 / H15.1