@ogurlui

#2,950,1215

0x716a859cc4871310521e432f74085d250a5cf358

~29d· 27 markets · 311 tradesVol: $54,9462026-08-04 20:59:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

5
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

26% (6/23)0/20
0.53x (win $1,344 / loss $2,540)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.4240/15
Sortino -6.3570/10
$-0.1104 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1487 (23 markets)5.1/10
4/14 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 939% of peak ($1,620 / $173)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
37% entries < $0.20

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#1,596,793$-499Vol: $41,205
⚽ SPORTS#1,812,939$-713Vol: $13,361
🎭 CULTURE#677,767$-9Vol: $380

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,220
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$54,946
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
27
total markets
Trades
138B / 173S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~29d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,220
Vol: $54,946

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
26%
6W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$-1,220
Win Rate
26%
6W / 17L
Profit Factor
0.53x
Avg Win
$224
Avg Loss
$-231

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,120 (0.9179791854462018% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$772
Will France win on 2026-07-09?$251
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?$97
Yoane Wissa: 1+ goals$78
Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-20?$75
Will Désiré Doué score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$70

Top Losers

Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?$-1,569
Will Levon Aronian win the 2025 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz chess tournament?$-295
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2025 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz chess tournament?$-275
Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave win the 2025 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz chess tournament?$-130
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$-115
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$-60
Will Wesley So win the 2025 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz chess tournament?$-45
Antoine Semenyo: 1+ goals$-30
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-14
Will Awonder Liang win the 2025 Quantbox Chennai Grand Masters?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.324
Sortino
-0.300
HHI
620
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.161
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.9%
Top-5 markets
46.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.43
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.8

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 310s — normal for humanCV 1.43 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal34% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.52
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)37%
Mid (20-55c)42%
High (>55c)21%

Sessions

#12
5/18/2025, 11:05:05 AM1 trades$1,5210 min
6/26/2026, 8:38:07 AM18 trades$1,1097 min
6/17/2026, 5:10:56 PM2 trades$9640 min
5/4/2025, 6:02:27 PM2 trades$7704 min
7/3/2026, 4:15:23 AM11 trades$7470 min
7/9/2026, 7:19:55 PM4 trades$7411 min
7/2/2026, 1:11:31 PM8 trades$7280 min
5/4/2025, 5:29:50 PM1 trades$7130 min
7/9/2026, 10:02:14 PM2 trades$6510 min
5/18/2025, 7:10:51 PM20 trades$6303 min
6/29/2026, 8:12:59 AM9 trades$6250 min
6/26/2026, 9:05:59 PM10 trades$6002 min
6/23/2026, 10:11:20 AM2 trades$5930 min
5/18/2025, 6:13:49 PM7 trades$5801 min
6/28/2026, 12:32:17 PM10 trades$5500 min
6/28/2026, 11:47:02 AM10 trades$5320 min
6/26/2026, 5:16:50 PM14 trades$4865 min
6/27/2026, 9:11:01 AM5 trades$4800 min
7/3/2026, 1:18:11 PM2 trades$4690 min
5/4/2025, 11:35:41 AM1 trades$3540 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-20
05-18
08-12
08-15
06-26
06-28
07-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 422 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.52/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L37 / M42 / H21