@HoldenaintFolden
#2,981,410200x71afb689199cb3c531876d9ff9028817c0a0dd01
~99d· 145 markets · 976 tradesVol: $233,4002026-08-05 00:38:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
45% (61/137)7.3/20
0.51x (win $17,877 / loss $34,718)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.7760/15
Sortino -1.8100/10
$-0.3736 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 767 (137 markets)8.7/10
30/63 profitable days (48%)4.4/10
Max DD 410% of peak ($22,268 / $5,426)0/10
Badges
2Lottery Player
39% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
7⚽ SPORTS#1,811,173$-685Vol: $197,825
🎭 CULTURE#810,419$-960Vol: $23,136
💰 FINANCE#636,818$-129Vol: $7,208
🏛️ POLITICS#172,629$10Vol: $4,021
₿ CRYPTO#129,041$49Vol: $920
🌤️ WEATHER#19,414$14Vol: $200
📢 MENTIONS#77,346$-1Vol: $90
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,701
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$233,400
Total Redeem
$687
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
145
total markets
Trades
685B / 291S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~99d
Periods
#2Today
$379
Vol: $0
Week
$316
Vol: $0
Month
$211
Vol: $618
All Time
$-1,701
Vol: $233,400
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
45%
61W / 76L events
Realized PnL
$-1,701
Win Rate
45%
61W / 76L
Profit Factor
0.51x
Avg Win
$293
Avg Loss
$-476
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9,651 (5.674398095070113% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4,287
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$4,284
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$1,080
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$776
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$775
Will Bodø/Glimt advance to the round of 16?$606
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?$538
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?$513
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?$449
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?$375
Top Losers
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-14,231
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-9,381
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,464
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-1,480
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?$-828
Will Sunrisers Hyderabad win the 2026 Indian Premier League?$-596
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13?$-406
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$-378
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-322
Will Raphinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$-294
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.092
Sortino
-0.067
HHI
1131
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.298
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
21.5%
Top-5 markets
63.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
3.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.20
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.5
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 123s — normal for humanCV 3.20 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal55% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 20:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
7.27
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)39.4%
Mid (20-55c)30.7%
High (>55c)29.9%
Sessions
#127/16/2026, 9:40:25 PM30 trades$13,13910 min
7/11/2026, 8:55:04 AM7 trades$3,9164 min
7/14/2026, 12:41:16 AM24 trades$3,77711 min
5/27/2026, 7:58:41 PM9 trades$2,5831 min
7/16/2026, 11:10:49 PM2 trades$2,2440 min
9/22/2025, 10:25:50 PM1 trades$2,0600 min
5/25/2026, 11:11:39 PM12 trades$2,0075 min
9/22/2025, 8:38:06 PM3 trades$1,7800 min
12/6/2025, 7:35:09 PM6 trades$1,5084 min
7/5/2026, 8:29:01 AM10 trades$1,45111 min
7/9/2026, 5:12:49 AM8 trades$1,2870 min
6/23/2026, 5:00:31 PM15 trades$1,2597 min
7/3/2026, 9:21:40 AM2 trades$1,1580 min
7/15/2026, 5:04:46 AM27 trades$1,1574 min
7/1/2026, 7:50:47 AM2 trades$1,1250 min
6/23/2026, 5:38:16 PM2 trades$1,0892 min
2/27/2026, 6:16:55 PM5 trades$1,0655 min
12/6/2025, 5:48:03 PM2 trades$9961 min
2/24/2026, 7:44:06 PM6 trades$99412 min
4/4/2026, 8:17:59 PM15 trades$9824 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-22
12-25
01-18
02-11
03-18
05-13
07-11
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 5 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.27/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L39.4 / M30.7 / H29.9