@LeonMusk
#2,949,020170x71b1e39cd44878c76074af783c8065210e41ac2c
~631d· 3428 markets · 21298 tradesVol: $555,0292026-08-05 00:40:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
36% (1235/3418)3.1/20
0.95x (win $17,950 / loss $18,889)1.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.5720/15
Sortino -0.9960/10
$-0.0213 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 13 (3418 markets)10/10
191/500 profitable days (38%)2.1/10
Max DD 300% of peak ($1,489 / $496)0/10
Badges
4Lottery Player
58% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
79% maker orders
Categories
9₿ CRYPTO#1,617,716$-989Vol: $208,564
⚽ SPORTS#1,818,925$-817Vol: $178,745
🏛️ POLITICS#59,301$116Vol: $83,178
📢 MENTIONS#4,093$193Vol: $35,691
🎭 CULTURE#7,836$506Vol: $29,128
💰 FINANCE#620,992$-55Vol: $10,905
📈 ECONOMICS#45,068$9Vol: $4,791
💻 TECH#240,655$-33Vol: $1,421
🌤️ WEATHER#272,443$-39Vol: $940
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,203
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$555,029
Total Redeem
$228
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
3428
total markets
Trades
13305B / 7993S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~631d
Periods
#2Today
$-3
Vol: $60
Week
$-6
Vol: $60
Month
$-11
Vol: $110
All Time
$-1,203
Vol: $555,029
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
36%
1235W / 2183L events
Realized PnL
$-1,203
Win Rate
36%
1235W / 2183L
Profit Factor
0.95x
Avg Win
$15
Avg Loss
$-9
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $948 (0.7875708374187758% of PnL)
Top Winners
Minnesota shooting suspect Vance Boelter captured by Sunday?$385
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $109K on June 10?$364
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?$199
Knicks vs. Celtics$167
Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?$166
Pacers vs. Cavaliers$161
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102K and $104K on June 20?$157
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$149
Will Ohio State beat Notre Dame by 9 or more points?$146
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $100K on June 23 at 5PM ET?$138
Top Losers
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$-144
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $105K on June 21 at 5PM ET?$-128
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $104K on June 25 at 5PM ET?$-122
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $103K on June 24 at 5PM ET?$-92
Will Caitlin Clark win the 2025 WNBA MVP?$-82
Will PSG win in regulation?$-75
Mavericks vs. Thunder$-73
FIFA Club World Cup: Chelsea vs. PSG – To Lift Trophy $-71
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $110K on June 11 at 5 PM ET?$-69
Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?$-67
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.030
Sortino
-0.054
HHI
10
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.021
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1%
Top-5 markets
3.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
30.1
Active
Markets / Day
4.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
41.6m
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.16
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
22 min
Avg Trades / Session
21.3
Bot Detection
#650
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 266s — normal for humanCV 1.16 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock30 trades/day — high frequency4.8 markets/day — normal79% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.26
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)58.3%
Mid (20-55c)33.9%
High (>55c)7.8%
Sessions
#1211/5/2025, 6:23:49 PM83 trades$57092 min
6/10/2025, 3:04:47 PM65 trades$43154 min
11/7/2025, 12:22:39 AM42 trades$30242 min
6/23/2025, 10:19:55 PM5 trades$2838 min
6/20/2025, 10:46:28 AM18 trades$27917 min
2/28/2026, 1:54:37 PM5 trades$2697 min
11/7/2025, 5:21:53 PM57 trades$26956 min
5/10/2026, 7:25:48 PM4 trades$2500 min
6/23/2025, 4:30:36 PM16 trades$24911 min
3/8/2026, 2:09:49 AM9 trades$23212 min
3/4/2026, 5:44:09 AM3 trades$2222 min
11/19/2025, 5:02:25 PM36 trades$22039 min
3/2/2026, 4:52:43 PM28 trades$21828 min
3/5/2026, 2:43:51 AM14 trades$21718 min
11/5/2025, 4:10:35 AM21 trades$18526 min
5/7/2025, 1:57:08 AM1 trades$1850 min
5/8/2025, 12:57:42 AM28 trades$18128 min
6/21/2025, 6:18:18 PM15 trades$17919 min
11/28/2025, 7:06:55 AM9 trades$15813 min
3/4/2026, 8:24:23 PM32 trades$15842 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-28
03-04
06-24
09-25
12-18
03-12
07-29
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 352 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.26/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L58.3 / M33.9 / H7.8