Skr3nny

@Skr3nny

#2,955,57710

0x71bf1c8ad81759309ae619d658b8d0a7e92ca0b9

~22d· 24 markets · 116 tradesVol: $172,5272026-08-05 00:39:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (8/24)1.7/20
0.56x (win $1,514 / loss $2,695)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.5520/15
Sortino -4.5500/10
$-0.1064 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 842 (24 markets)8.3/10
5/18 profitable days (28%)0/10
Max DD 4184% of peak ($1,402 / $34)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
68% entries < $0.55

Categories

5
⚽ SPORTS#1,761,522$-273Vol: $103,845
₿ CRYPTO#1,586,802$-464Vol: $24,924
💻 TECH#256,176$-506Vol: $19,868
🏛️ POLITICS#1,449,349$-42Vol: $16,963
💰 FINANCE#531,941$-4Vol: $6,928

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,289
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$172,527
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
24
total markets
Trades
44B / 72S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~22d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
8W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$-1,289
Win Rate
33%
8W / 16L
Profit Factor
0.56x
Avg Win
$189
Avg Loss
$-168

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,237 (0.9595543452117713% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?$597
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?$326
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?$314
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?$80
Will Bitcoin dip to $105,000 in November?$66
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?$66
Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by April 30?$34
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? $32

Top Losers

Will Germany be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$-593
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?$-561
OpenAI browser by October 31?$-506
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16?$-233
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?$-212
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Paraguay?$-129
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 24?$-102
Nothing Ever Happens: Russian Capture Edition$-90
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 26?$-70
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$-54

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.181
Sortino
-0.249
HHI
864
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.104
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.3%
Top-5 markets
54.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.95
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 702s — normal for humanCV 0.96 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal22% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.58
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.6%
Mid (20-55c)54.5%
High (>55c)31.8%

Sessions

#12
6/11/2026, 12:02:15 PM15 trades$1,5670 min
10/30/2025, 1:00:05 PM2 trades$1,1101 min
6/27/2026, 5:23:52 AM4 trades$1,0401 min
10/21/2025, 9:23:23 AM1 trades$1,0160 min
10/21/2025, 9:55:49 AM1 trades$1,0160 min
10/21/2025, 6:53:09 AM2 trades$1,0121 min
6/29/2026, 5:56:17 PM10 trades$1,0090 min
6/28/2026, 12:01:31 PM10 trades$1,0090 min
11/3/2025, 4:58:03 PM2 trades$9901 min
11/1/2025, 11:01:09 PM1 trades$7070 min
11/1/2025, 10:45:55 AM1 trades$6750 min
11/1/2025, 1:57:05 PM1 trades$6750 min
10/20/2025, 1:38:59 PM2 trades$6502 min
10/30/2025, 9:25:51 AM1 trades$6260 min
10/29/2025, 2:21:47 PM1 trades$6070 min
10/29/2025, 2:35:53 PM1 trades$6070 min
11/3/2025, 5:23:59 PM1 trades$5610 min
11/3/2025, 6:11:19 PM1 trades$5610 min
11/1/2025, 9:39:31 PM2 trades$5444 min
6/29/2026, 9:54:59 PM3 trades$4880 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-09
10-20
10-25
11-01
01-23
06-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 443 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
62.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.58/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L13.6 / M54.5 / H31.8