@JoliBolly

#324,30884

0x722af59472b82f1f4f5bbfab6ffbc84afc28cf54

~33d· 45 markets · 53 tradesVol: $23,2652026-08-04 21:24:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

84
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

87% (39/45)20/20
2.31x (win $75 / loss $32)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.86315/15
Sortino 7.39810/10
$+0.0073 per $1 invested0.4/10
HHI 293 (45 markets)10/10
28/33 profitable days (85%)10/10
Max DD 54% of peak ($24 / $44)3.2/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 87%
Profitable
PnL $+46
Consistent
28/33 profitable days
Win Streak
15 wins in a row

Categories

4
₿ CRYPTO#149,932$33Vol: $22,725
🏛️ POLITICS#1,134,296$-5Vol: $312
📈 ECONOMICS#203,613$0Vol: $104
⚽ SPORTS#247,608$16Vol: $78

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$46
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$23,265
Total Redeem
$258
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
45
total markets
Trades
45B / 8S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~33d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$46
Vol: $23,265

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
87%
39W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$46
Win Rate
87%
39W / 6L
Profit Factor
2.31x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-8

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $47 (1.0155877895648409% of PnL)

Top Winners

Ethereum all time high by August 15?$17
Cowboys vs. Eagles$16
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$6
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by September 30?$3
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?$3
XRP above $3.50 on August 15?$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$1
Will XRP reach $6.00 in September?$1

Top Losers

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on September 19?$-17
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?$-9
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$-4
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.199
Sortino
0.186
HHI
313
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.007
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.7%
Top-5 markets
26.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.1m
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
34
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.6

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 92s — normal for humanCV 0.60 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal8% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.27
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.2%
Mid (20-55c)4.4%
High (>55c)93.3%

Sessions

#12
3/24/2026, 2:47:19 PM7 trades$94217 min
9/8/2025, 1:23:46 PM2 trades$3442 min
11/5/2025, 11:01:53 AM1 trades$3340 min
10/27/2025, 10:47:39 AM1 trades$3340 min
10/24/2025, 10:15:45 AM1 trades$3330 min
9/16/2025, 9:44:32 AM3 trades$3267 min
9/12/2025, 7:56:55 AM1 trades$3200 min
8/15/2025, 8:31:48 AM2 trades$3081 min
8/19/2025, 12:57:36 PM2 trades$3081 min
2/20/2026, 12:53:10 PM2 trades$1731 min
6/27/2026, 11:42:16 AM2 trades$1450 min
3/26/2026, 3:25:21 PM1 trades$1410 min
3/24/2026, 3:23:13 PM1 trades$1400 min
12/5/2025, 7:41:11 AM2 trades$1301 min
11/25/2025, 10:15:11 AM1 trades$1300 min
3/6/2026, 6:41:43 AM2 trades$1261 min
2/25/2026, 9:15:40 AM1 trades$1260 min
8/4/2025, 11:18:22 AM1 trades$1230 min
3/20/2026, 10:53:39 AM1 trades$1230 min
7/23/2025, 2:56:11 PM1 trades$1220 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-09
07-23
09-08
10-27
01-02
03-06
05-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 80 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
15.1% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.27/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.2 / M4.4 / H93.3