@industrialsilicagel

#2,845,15055

0x72476fa4e440ef335fcabd3b14c9af328860ecb6

~21d· 164 markets · 1057 tradesVol: $29,9762026-08-04 21:24:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

55
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

22% (35/162)0/20
1.23x (win $1,730 / loss $1,408)5.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.92515/15
Sortino 3.92610/10
$+0.1054 per $1 invested5.3/10
HHI 265 (162 markets)10/10
11/20 profitable days (55%)6.3/10
Max DD 53% of peak ($366 / $687)3.4/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
67% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
72% maker orders

Categories

3
🌤️ WEATHER#18,983$15Vol: $26,098
SPORTS#1,797,010$-499Vol: $3,678
🏛️ POLITICS#1,081,918$-4Vol: $200

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-488
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$29,976
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
164
total markets
Trades
765B / 292S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~21d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
22%
35W / 127L events
Realized PnL
$-488
Win Rate
22%
35W / 127L
Profit Factor
1.23x
Avg Win
$49
Avg Loss
$-12

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $885 (1.8132552328677345% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 6?$589
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 5?$192
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12?$104
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 8?$103
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$98
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 20?$95
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 5?$80
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 21?$61
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 4?$58
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$46

Top Losers

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-217
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 9?$-121
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 9?$-101
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 4?$-41
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 10?$-40
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?$-40
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 7?$-40
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 21?$-27
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 20?$-27
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on June 6?$-23

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.098
Sortino
0.235
HHI
529
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.098
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.9%
Top-5 markets
42.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
25.8
Active
Markets / Day
4.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
38.2m
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.21
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.5

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 147s — normal for humanCV 2.21 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock26 trades/day — high frequency4.0 markets/day — normal72% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.75
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)67.3%
Mid (20-55c)5.9%
High (>55c)26.8%

Sessions

#12
6/6/2026, 8:45:55 AM59 trades$4173 min
6/12/2026, 9:10:58 AM4 trades$2401 min
6/19/2026, 4:04:53 PM2 trades$2340 min
6/19/2026, 9:15:52 AM8 trades$1920 min
6/12/2026, 2:44:48 AM8 trades$1770 min
6/19/2026, 3:42:49 PM4 trades$1760 min
6/9/2026, 3:13:40 PM11 trades$1756 min
6/6/2026, 1:04:13 AM5 trades$1571 min
6/12/2026, 4:01:31 AM2 trades$1560 min
6/6/2026, 3:42:16 AM13 trades$1406 min
5/30/2026, 2:40:15 PM12 trades$1230 min
6/8/2026, 1:02:57 AM7 trades$1222 min
6/19/2026, 10:18:10 AM7 trades$1180 min
6/5/2026, 4:36:43 AM5 trades$1061 min
6/9/2026, 5:27:19 PM7 trades$1015 min
5/28/2026, 1:43:42 PM1 trades$960 min
6/8/2026, 5:18:27 PM4 trades$960 min
6/5/2026, 4:01:39 PM24 trades$936 min
5/28/2026, 2:06:16 PM2 trades$931 min
6/10/2026, 5:42:21 PM4 trades$910 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-28
06-04
06-07
06-10
06-16
06-19
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 29 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
92% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.75/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L67.3 / M5.9 / H26.8